PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
LLLWD
- Rogers 42'
- Watkins 57'
- Watkins 73'
- McGinn 89'
FT4 – 2
Liverpool
LWWLD
- van Dijk 52'
- van Dijk 90+2'
Friday, 15 May 2026 · 20:00 · Villa Park
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 4–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won3.45
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Draw
Lost4.20
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost2.16
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Aston Villa
lostBY 1
Price5.00
Estimate6.18
▼ 19.1%wonBY 2
Price8.50
Estimate11.74
▼ 27.6%lostBY 3
Price17.00
Estimate30.40
▼ 44.1%lostBY 4+
Price29.00
Estimate74.83
▼ 61.2%Liverpool
lostBY 1
Price4.33
Estimate4.75
▼ 8.9%lostBY 2
Price6.50
Estimate7.04
▼ 7.7%lostBY 3
Price13.00
Estimate14.12
▼ 7.9%lostBY 4+
Price19.00
Estimate24.57
▼ 22.7%Draw
lostScore Draw
Price4.33
Estimate5.16
▼ 16.0%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price13.00
Estimate20.49
▼ 36.6%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 4–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Won1.87
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won1.33
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Lost1.42
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 4–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won2.60
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost1.64
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 4–2 · HT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won4.10
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Draw
Lost2.54
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost2.82
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
20:25Over 1.5 goals · from 0-0 at 25'ProjectedNo observed priceHit
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