WORLD CUP
Paraguay
DWLWD
FT0 – 1
France
WWWWW
- Mbappé (pen) 70'
Saturday, 4 July 2026 · 22:00 · Philadelphia Stadium
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 0–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
—
Paraguay · for
not on file
—
Total corners · past games added together
—
France · for
not on file
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price10.00
LOST6 to 8
Price3.25
LOST9 to 11
Price2.62
LOST12 to 14
Price4.33
WONOver 14
Price9.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 0–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 22:00 on 4 Julolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 0–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
1.87
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 22:00 on 4 Julolder pricePinnacleas of 22:00 on 4 Julolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
9––1.712.08
9.51.802.001.941.87
102.251.902.191.64
10.5––2.431.51
11––2.851.36
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 22:00 on 4 Julolder pricePinnacleas of 22:00 on 4 Julolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9.5)
bet365 has no alternative corner lines for this match.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365 has no Corner Handicap price for this match.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season, number of matches not on file
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Paraguay 23, France 14)
Corners for per game is not on file for Paraguay or France, so no combined figure is shown.
Each side's corners for blended with the other's corners against cannot be shown: corners against per game is not on file for both sides.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Paraguay 23 matches, France 14 matches): over 9.5: Paraguay 48%, France 36%.
Corners for at the venues: Paraguay at home: not on file, France away: not on file.
bet365 · line 9.5 (main line)Over 1.80 · Under 2.00
averages not on file
Paraguay 48%, France 36% of matches went over
bet365as of 22:00 on 4 Julolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.71 · Under 2.08
averages not on file
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 22:00 on 4 Julolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.94 · Under 1.87
averages not on file
Paraguay 48%, France 36% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 22:00 on 4 Julolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.19 · Under 1.64
averages not on file
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 22:00 on 4 Julolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.43 · Under 1.51
averages not on file
Paraguay 35%, France 7% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 22:00 on 4 Julolder price
Pinnacle · line 11Over 2.85 · Under 1.36
averages not on file
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 22:00 on 4 Julolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
ParaguayFrance
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2059%Over 3.5 cornersL2090%
L2039%Over 4.5 cornersL2071%
L2026%Over 5.5 cornersL2057%
L2048%Over 9.5 totalL2036%
L2035%Over 10.5 totalL207%
L2036%Match corners W%L2090%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
14%Under 610%
32%6 to 830%
23%9 to 1160%
27%12 to 140%
5%Over 140%
Paraguay · 22 matchesFrance · 10 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+5.4 · FRANCE
Paraguay · home
+1.5
net per game
France · away
+5.4
net per game
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