MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
Philadelphia Union
WDLDL
Kick-off21:00
Toronto
DWLWL
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 21:00
NER WIN3.20-11.1%CHL WIN6.00+9.1%ORL WIN2.00+8.1%DRAW5.00+5.3%MIA WIN1.38-2.8%DRAW3.80-2.6%LAG WIN4.33DRAW4.20RSL WIN1.65DRAW5.00SKC WIN6.00SDL WIN1.42LAF WIN3.60DRAW3.75SEA WIN1.90DAL WIN2.00CLR WIN3.40DRAW3.60DRAW3.60HOU WIN2.50NER WIN3.20-11.1%CHL WIN6.00+9.1%ORL WIN2.00+8.1%DRAW5.00+5.3%MIA WIN1.38-2.8%DRAW3.80-2.6%LAG WIN4.33DRAW4.20RSL WIN1.65DRAW5.00SKC WIN6.00SDL WIN1.42LAF WIN3.60DRAW3.75SEA WIN1.90DAL WIN2.00CLR WIN3.40DRAW3.60DRAW3.60HOU WIN2.50
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.8
Philadelphia Union · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
4.5
Toronto · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 6 to 8Price3.75Fair3.07(33%)▲ 22.3%
6 to 8£10.00Returns£37.50
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Philadelphia UnionToronto
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2088%Over 3.5 cornersL2062%
L2062%Over 4.5 cornersL2042%
L2047%Over 5.5 cornersL2030%
L2055%Over 9.5 totalL2049%
L2047%Over 10.5 totalL2034%
L2071%Match corners W%L2038%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
5%Under 68%
36%6 to 821%
24%9 to 1136%
26%12 to 1418%
10%Over 1418%
Philadelphia Union · 42 matchesToronto · 39 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+3.0 · PHILADELPHIA UNION
Philadelphia Union · home
+3.0
net per game
Toronto · away
-1.7
net per game
Market
Philadelphia Union Corners Over / Under 6.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.9% over fair — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 6.5
Against Tissue1.92
Tissue
1.91
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-11.2%
Against Tissue
Under 6.5
No Edge To Take2.10
Tissue
2.08
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+2.9%
Below Bar
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
Toronto Corners Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 2.5
Value Edge1.21
Tissue
1.21
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
+33.1%
Value Edge
Under 2.5
Against Tissue5.90
Tissue
5.80
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
-60.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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