MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
DC United
LLLLL
Kick-off21:00
New York City
LDDWD
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 21:00
NER WIN3.20-11.1%CHL WIN6.00+9.1%ORL WIN2.00+8.1%DRAW5.00+5.3%MIA WIN1.38-2.8%DRAW3.80-2.6%RSL WIN1.65LAG WIN4.33DRAW4.20SKC WIN6.00SDL WIN1.42DRAW5.00LAF WIN3.60DRAW3.75SEA WIN1.90DAL WIN2.00DRAW3.60CLR WIN3.40HOU WIN2.50DRAW3.60NER WIN3.20-11.1%CHL WIN6.00+9.1%ORL WIN2.00+8.1%DRAW5.00+5.3%MIA WIN1.38-2.8%DRAW3.80-2.6%RSL WIN1.65LAG WIN4.33DRAW4.20SKC WIN6.00SDL WIN1.42DRAW5.00LAF WIN3.60DRAW3.75SEA WIN1.90DAL WIN2.00DRAW3.60CLR WIN3.40HOU WIN2.50DRAW3.60
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.0
DC United · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
5.2
New York City · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.60Fair3.41(29%)▼ 23.8%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.00
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge1.46
Tissue
1.45
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
+28.2%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue3.20
Tissue
3.20
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
-37.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
DC UnitedNew York City
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2070%Over 3.5 cornersL2055%
L2050%Over 4.5 cornersL2046%
L2037%Over 5.5 cornersL2033%
L2050%Over 9.5 totalL2054%
L2046%Over 10.5 totalL2038%
L2043%Match corners W%L2034%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
3%Under 614%
27%6 to 834%
27%9 to 1127%
27%12 to 1414%
16%Over 1411%
DC United · 37 matchesNew York City · 44 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.7 · DC UNITED
DC United · home
+0.7
net per game
New York City · away
-1.6
net per game
Market
DC United Corners Over / Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge1.39
Tissue
1.39
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+27.4%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue3.60
Tissue
3.55
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-42.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
New York City Corners Over / Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge1.68
Tissue
1.67
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+12.3%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue2.50
Tissue
2.48
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-24.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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