SBI
MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
DC United
LLLLL
Kick-off21:00
New York City
LDDWD
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 21:00
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.0
DC United · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
μ 11.26
5.2
New York City · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.60Fair3.41(29%)▼ 23.8%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.00
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge
1.46
Tissue
1.45
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
+28.2%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue
3.20
Tissue
3.20
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
-37.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
DC UnitedNew York City
5.0
Corners for · per game
4.8
5.1
Corners against · per game
4.9
Hit rates · over markets
L2070%
Over 3.5 corners
L2055%
L2050%
Over 4.5 corners
L2046%
L2037%
Over 5.5 corners
L2033%
L2050%
Over 9.5 total
L2054%
L2046%
Over 10.5 total
L2038%
L2043%
Match corners W%
L2034%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
3%
Under 6
14%
27%
6 to 8
34%
27%
9 to 11
27%
27%
12 to 14
14%
16%
Over 14
11%
DC United · 37 matchesNew York City · 44 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.7 · DC UNITED
DC United · home
+0.7
net per game
For
5.5
Against
4.8
New York City · away
-1.6
net per game
For
3.9
Against
5.5
Market

DC United Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.39
Tissue
1.39
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+27.4%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
3.60
Tissue
3.55
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-42.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

New York City Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.68
Tissue
1.67
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+12.3%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
2.50
Tissue
2.48
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-24.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.