SBI
SERIE A
Flamengo
DWWWW
Kick-off22:30
Grêmio
DDLWW
Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 22:30
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.9
Flamengo · for
at home, per game
11.5
Total corners · projected
μ 11.47
4.6
Grêmio · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.75Fair2.90(34%)▼ 5.2%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£27.50
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
FlamengoGrêmio
5.9
Corners for · per game
4.5
4.0
Corners against · per game
5.4
Hit rates · over markets
L2073%
Over 3.5 corners
L2068%
L2062%
Over 4.5 corners
L2050%
L2049%
Over 5.5 corners
L2035%
L2052%
Over 9.5 total
L2053%
L2035%
Over 10.5 total
L2037%
L2061%
Match corners W%
L2038%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
5%
Under 6
5%
41%
6 to 8
28%
29%
9 to 11
40%
10%
12 to 14
23%
15%
Over 14
5%
Flamengo · 41 matchesGrêmio · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+3.0 · FLAMENGO
Flamengo · home
+3.0
net per game
For
6.6
Against
3.6
Grêmio · away
-1.8
net per game
For
4.1
Against
5.9
Market

Flamengo Corners Over / Under 7.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 7.5
Against Tissue
2.64
Tissue
2.62
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-32.8%
Against Tissue
Under 7.5
Value Edge
1.62
Tissue
1.61
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+27.4%
Value Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Grêmio Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.48
Tissue
1.47
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
+56.3%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
3.10
Tissue
3.10
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-48.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.