SBI
SERIE A
Bahia
LLWLD
  • Nestor 6'
  • Pulga 10'
  • Victor 81'
FT3 – 2
São Paulo
LLWWD
  • Moura 43'
  • Bobadilla 45+5'
Thursday, 29 October 2026 · 00:30
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.1
Bahia · for
at home, per game
11.5
Total corners · projected
μ 11.55
5.5
São Paulo · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price17.00
Fair20.13
LOST
6 to 8
Price4.33
Fair4.24
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.75
Fair3.12
LOST
12 to 14
Price3.40
Fair3.95
LOST
Over 14
Price5.50
Fair7.14
WON
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Bahia 0
1.74
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
São Paulo 0
2.36
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
BahiaSão Paulo
5.0
Corners for · per game
5.6
5.1
Corners against · per game
4.8
Hit rates · over markets
L2080%
Over 3.5 corners
L2076%
L2047%
Over 4.5 corners
L2057%
L2039%
Over 5.5 corners
L2046%
L2053%
Over 9.5 total
L2056%
L2038%
Over 10.5 total
L2042%
L2046%
Match corners W%
L2051%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
2%
Under 6
2%
20%
6 to 8
29%
34%
9 to 11
34%
29%
12 to 14
15%
15%
Over 14
20%
Bahia · 41 matchesSão Paulo · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.5 · BAHIA
Bahia · home
+1.5
net per game
For
5.7
Against
4.2
São Paulo · away
-0.6
net per game
For
5.0
Against
5.5
Market

Bahia Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.78
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

São Paulo Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.57
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.80
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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