SBI
SERIE A
Vasco da Gama
WWWDL
  • Rodríguez 35'
  • Hinestroza 88'
  • Hinestroza 90'
FT3 – 2
Corinthians
LLLLD
  • Henrique 50'
  • Bidu 57'
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · 22:30
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.9
Vasco da Gama · for
at home, per game
11.2
Total corners · projected
μ 11.16
5.3
Corinthians · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price11.00
Fair8.81
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.40
Fair3.37
WON
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair3.57
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.00
Fair4.24
LOST
Over 14
Price9.00
Fair13.60
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.48
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.61
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.10
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Vasco da GamaCorinthians
4.7
Corners for · per game
5.1
4.8
Corners against · per game
5.0
Hit rates · over markets
L2068%
Over 3.5 corners
L2063%
L2048%
Over 4.5 corners
L2052%
L2034%
Over 5.5 corners
L2038%
L2047%
Over 9.5 total
L2052%
L2036%
Over 10.5 total
L2040%
L2057%
Match corners W%
L2049%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%
Under 6
7%
35%
6 to 8
29%
28%
9 to 11
34%
25%
12 to 14
22%
3%
Over 14
7%
Vasco da Gama · 40 matchesCorinthians · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.7 · VASCO DA GAMA
Vasco da Gama · home
+0.7
net per game
For
5.1
Against
4.4
Corinthians · away
-1.1
net per game
For
4.5
Against
5.6
Market

Vasco da Gama Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.88
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.16
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Corinthians Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
4.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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