SBI
SERIE A
Flamengo
WWDWW
  • Plata 34'
  • de Arrascaeta 41'
  • Carrascal (pen) 90+9'
FT3 – 2
Atlético Mineiro
DWDWW
  • Bernard 7'
  • Lodi 59'
Monday, 26 October 2026 · 23:00
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.5
Flamengo · for
at home, per game
11.6
Total corners · projected
μ 11.57
5.0
Atlético Mineiro · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price13.00
Fair14.24
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.75
Fair3.36
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair3.24
LOST
12 to 14
Price3.75
Fair7.83
WON
Over 14
Price7.00
Fair5.11
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.40
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.55
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.28
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
FlamengoAtlético Mineiro
5.9
Corners for · per game
5.3
4.0
Corners against · per game
5.0
Hit rates · over markets
L2073%
Over 3.5 corners
L2066%
L2062%
Over 4.5 corners
L2053%
L2050%
Over 5.5 corners
L2039%
L2052%
Over 9.5 total
L2054%
L2036%
Over 10.5 total
L2044%
L2063%
Match corners W%
L2049%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
5%
Under 6
7%
41%
6 to 8
20%
27%
9 to 11
34%
7%
12 to 14
15%
20%
Over 14
24%
Flamengo · 41 matchesAtlético Mineiro · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+3.0 · FLAMENGO
Flamengo · home
+3.0
net per game
For
6.6
Against
3.6
Atlético Mineiro · away
-0.9
net per game
For
4.6
Against
5.5
Market

Flamengo Corners Over / Under 6.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 6.5
2.10
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 6.5
1.93
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Atlético Mineiro Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.36
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.25
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.85
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.57
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.