SERIE A
Grêmio
DWLLD
- Wallace 48'
- Pavón 86'
FT2 – 1
São Paulo
LDLLD
- Antônio 45+2'
Saturday, 8 August 2026 · 20:00
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.5
Grêmio · for
this season, per game
11.4
Total corners · past games added together
6.9
São Paulo · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price10.00
LOST6 to 8
Price3.10
LOST9 to 11
Price2.60
LOST12 to 14
Price4.33
WONOver 14
Price11.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.52
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.42
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Augolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.92
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Augolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Corners 0
Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Grêmio 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
—
Moved
São Paulo 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
2.13
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Augolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
91.832.501.672.15
9.51.901.901.921.88
102.371.832.141.68
10.5––2.371.55
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Augolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9.5)
OverUnder
71.285.50
81.503.50
91.832.50
102.371.83
113.401.53
124.501.30
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Grêmio +11.72
Tie after the handicap8.00
São Paulo +11.80
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Grêmio 34 matches; São Paulo 34 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Grêmio 108, São Paulo 109)
Grêmio corners for 4.50 a game, São Paulo 6.85, together 11.35 against a 9.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Grêmio 4.68 and São Paulo 6.18, together 10.85 against a 9.5 line.
The added-together figure is 1.9 above the 9.5 line; the blend is 1.4 above it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Grêmio 108 matches, São Paulo 109 matches): over 9.5: Grêmio 54%, São Paulo 57%.
Corners for at the venues: Grêmio at home 5.24 (17 matches), São Paulo away 5.94 (17 matches), together 11.18.
bet365 · line 9.5 (main line)Over 1.90 · Under 1.90
added together 11.35 is 1.9 above; blend 10.85 is 1.4 above
Grêmio 54%, São Paulo 57% of matches went over
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.67 · Under 2.15
added together 11.35 is 2.4 above; blend 10.85 is 1.9 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.92 · Under 1.88
added together 11.35 is 1.9 above; blend 10.85 is 1.4 above
Grêmio 54%, São Paulo 57% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.14 · Under 1.68
added together 11.35 is 1.4 above; blend 10.85 is 0.9 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.37 · Under 1.55
added together 11.35 is 0.9 above; blend 10.85 is 0.4 above
Grêmio 38%, São Paulo 42% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Augolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
GrêmioSão Paulo
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2063%Over 3.5 cornersL2078%
L2049%Over 4.5 cornersL2058%
L2034%Over 5.5 cornersL2047%
L2054%Over 9.5 totalL2057%
L2038%Over 10.5 totalL2042%
L2049%Match corners W%L2056%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%Under 62%
34%6 to 834%
41%9 to 1139%
12%12 to 1415%
2%Over 1410%
Grêmio · 41 matchesSão Paulo · 41 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+0.1 · GRÊMIO
Grêmio · home
+0.1
net per game
São Paulo · away
-0.6
net per game
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