LIGA PROFESIONAL DE FÚTBOL
Boca Juniors
WDWWW
Kick-off20:30
Defensa y Justicia
WWLWD
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 20:30
CTR WIN5.25+31.3%BEL WIN3.25+20.4%ALD WIN9.00+20.0%DRAW4.50+20.0%LAN WIN1.66-19.0%DRAW3.50+16.7%RAC WIN3.60+16.1%EST WIN2.75-14.1%GIM WIN2.20-12.0%NOB WIN4.20-11.6%DRAW3.20+11.5%TAL WIN2.62+11.5%DRAW5.75+9.5%TIG WIN1.90+8.6%BAR WIN2.15-8.5%IACC WIN1.90+5.6%SARM WIN4.50-5.3%DEF WIN9.00-5.3%VEL WIN2.90-3.3%DRAW3.10-3.1%CTR WIN5.25+31.3%BEL WIN3.25+20.4%ALD WIN9.00+20.0%DRAW4.50+20.0%LAN WIN1.66-19.0%DRAW3.50+16.7%RAC WIN3.60+16.1%EST WIN2.75-14.1%GIM WIN2.20-12.0%NOB WIN4.20-11.6%DRAW3.20+11.5%TAL WIN2.62+11.5%DRAW5.75+9.5%TIG WIN1.90+8.6%BAR WIN2.15-8.5%IACC WIN1.90+5.6%SARM WIN4.50-5.3%DEF WIN9.00-5.3%VEL WIN2.90-3.3%DRAW3.10-3.1%
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.1
Boca Juniors · for
at home, per game
10.6
Total corners · projected
4.5
Defensa y Justicia · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.62Fair3.20(31%)▼ 18.2%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.20
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Boca JuniorsDefensa y Justicia
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2058%Over 3.5 cornersL2064%
L2054%Over 4.5 cornersL2046%
L2041%Over 5.5 cornersL2023%
L2048%Over 9.5 totalL2042%
L2032%Over 10.5 totalL2031%
L2063%Match corners W%L2036%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
21%Under 65%
26%6 to 841%
30%9 to 1136%
19%12 to 1415%
5%Over 143%
Boca Juniors · 43 matchesDefensa y Justicia · 39 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.5 · BOCA JUNIORS
Boca Juniors · home
+2.5
net per game
Defensa y Justicia · away
-1.2
net per game
Market
Boca Juniors Corners Over / Under 6.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.2% over fair — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 6.5
Against Tissue2.44
Tissue
2.42
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-16.0%
Against Tissue
Under 6.5
No Edge To Take1.70
Tissue
1.69
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+4.2%
Below Bar
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
Defensa y Justicia Corners Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 2.5
Value Edge1.22
Tissue
1.22
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+53.8%
Value Edge
Under 2.5
Against Tissue5.60
Tissue
5.60
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-66.7%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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