SBI
PRIMERA DIVISION
Everton
LWWLD
Kick-off20:30
Concepcion
LDDLW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 20:30
DLS WIN2.40-7.7%PAL WIN2.62+6.9%DRAW3.30UNC WIN2.80OHI WIN2.40DRAW3.40LIM WIN6.00DRAW4.33UC WIN1.48ULC WIN1.95HUA WIN3.50DRAW3.60UCH WIN1.25DRAW5.50CSL WIN10.00DRAW3.50NUB WIN4.00CC WIN1.80DRAW3.20AI WIN3.00DLS WIN2.40-7.7%PAL WIN2.62+6.9%DRAW3.30UNC WIN2.80OHI WIN2.40DRAW3.40LIM WIN6.00DRAW4.33UC WIN1.48ULC WIN1.95HUA WIN3.50DRAW3.60UCH WIN1.25DRAW5.50CSL WIN10.00DRAW3.50NUB WIN4.00CC WIN1.80DRAW3.20AI WIN3.00
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.4
Everton · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
μ 11.26
4.8
Concepcion · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.60Fair3.28(31%)▼ 20.7%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.00
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
EvertonConcepcion
5.4
Corners for · per game
4.3
5.3
Corners against · per game
4.8
Hit rates · over markets
L2062%
Over 3.5 corners
L2054%
L2052%
Over 4.5 corners
L2035%
L2039%
Over 5.5 corners
L2027%
L2064%
Over 9.5 total
L2042%
L2048%
Over 10.5 total
L2035%
L2040%
Match corners W%
L2031%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
9%
Under 6
12%
25%
6 to 8
38%
31%
9 to 11
27%
27%
12 to 14
19%
7%
Over 14
4%
Everton · 55 matchesConcepcion · 26 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.7 · EVERTON
Everton · home
+1.7
net per game
For
6.4
Against
4.6
Concepcion · away
-2.4
net per game
For
3.2
Against
5.6
Market

Everton Corners Over / Under 5.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
Value Edge
1.62
Tissue
1.61
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+9.6%
Value Edge
Under 5.5
Against Tissue
2.64
Tissue
2.62
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-21.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Concepcion Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.41
Tissue
1.40
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+31.4%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
3.50
Tissue
3.45
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-44.1%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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