PRIMERA DIVISION
La Serena
WLLWD
Kick-off18:00
Palestino
WLDDL
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 18:00
DLS WIN2.40-7.7%PAL WIN2.62+6.9%DRAW3.30UNC WIN2.80OHI WIN2.40DRAW3.40LIM WIN6.00DRAW4.33UC WIN1.48ULC WIN1.95HUA WIN3.50DRAW3.60UCH WIN1.25DRAW5.50CSL WIN10.00DRAW3.50NUB WIN4.00CC WIN1.80DRAW3.20AI WIN3.00DLS WIN2.40-7.7%PAL WIN2.62+6.9%DRAW3.30UNC WIN2.80OHI WIN2.40DRAW3.40LIM WIN6.00DRAW4.33UC WIN1.48ULC WIN1.95HUA WIN3.50DRAW3.60UCH WIN1.25DRAW5.50CSL WIN10.00DRAW3.50NUB WIN4.00CC WIN1.80DRAW3.20AI WIN3.00
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
5.1
La Serena · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
6.2
Palestino · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.60Fair3.55(28%)▼ 26.8%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.00
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge1.45
Tissue
1.44
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.77
Bet365
+25.5%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue3.30
Tissue
3.25
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.02
Bet365
-36.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
La SerenaPalestino
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2056%Over 3.5 cornersL2080%
L2036%Over 4.5 cornersL2056%
L2020%Over 5.5 cornersL2040%
L2059%Over 9.5 totalL2044%
L2052%Over 10.5 totalL2035%
L2027%Match corners W%L2061%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
5%Under 610%
22%6 to 834%
32%9 to 1127%
32%12 to 1420%
10%Over 1410%
La Serena · 41 matchesPalestino · 41 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.0 · PALESTINO
La Serena · home
-0.4
net per game
Palestino · away
+1.0
net per game
Market
La Serena Corners Over / Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge1.72
Tissue
1.71
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+9.6%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue2.40
Tissue
2.40
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-21.8%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
Palestino Corners Over / Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge1.36
Tissue
1.35
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+25.8%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue3.85
Tissue
3.80
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-44.0%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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