SBI
PRIMERA DIVISION
La Serena
WLLWD
Kick-off18:00
Palestino
WLDDL
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 18:00
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
5.1
La Serena · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
μ 11.32
6.2
Palestino · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.60Fair3.55(28%)▼ 26.8%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.00
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge
1.45
Tissue
1.44
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.77
Bet365
+25.5%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue
3.30
Tissue
3.25
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.02
Bet365
-36.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
La SerenaPalestino
4.1
Corners for · per game
5.0
5.9
Corners against · per game
4.2
Hit rates · over markets
L2056%
Over 3.5 corners
L2080%
L2036%
Over 4.5 corners
L2056%
L2020%
Over 5.5 corners
L2040%
L2059%
Over 9.5 total
L2044%
L2052%
Over 10.5 total
L2035%
L2027%
Match corners W%
L2061%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
5%
Under 6
10%
22%
6 to 8
34%
32%
9 to 11
27%
32%
12 to 14
20%
10%
Over 14
10%
La Serena · 41 matchesPalestino · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.0 · PALESTINO
La Serena · home
-0.4
net per game
For
4.9
Against
5.4
Palestino · away
+1.0
net per game
For
5.3
Against
4.3
Market

La Serena Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.72
Tissue
1.71
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+9.6%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
2.40
Tissue
2.40
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-21.8%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Palestino Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.36
Tissue
1.35
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+25.8%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
3.85
Tissue
3.80
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-44.0%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.