PRIMERA DIVISION
Ñublense
DWDWW
FT0 – 1
Concepcion
WWWWD
- Henríquez (pen) 30'
Sunday, 30 August 2026 · 01:00
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 0–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.4
Ñublense · for
this season, per game
8.7
Total corners · past games added together
4.3
Concepcion · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price10.00
WON6 to 8
Price3.10
LOST9 to 11
Price2.60
LOST12 to 14
Price4.33
LOSTOver 14
Price11.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 0–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.52
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.48
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 01:00 on 30 Augolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 0–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.92
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 01:00 on 30 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 01:00 on 30 Augolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Corners 0
Settled · FT 0–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Ñublense 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.47
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Concepcion 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.49
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 01:00 on 30 Augolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
92.002.501.672.18
9.51.901.901.921.90
102.621.832.151.69
10.5––2.381.56
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 01:00 on 30 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 01:00 on 30 Augolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9.5)
OverUnder
71.285.50
81.503.50
91.832.50
102.621.72
113.401.53
124.501.30
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 01:00 on 30 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Ñublense -12.05
Tie after the handicap8.00
Concepcion +12.05
bet365as of 01:00 on 30 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Ñublense 26 matches; Concepcion 26 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Ñublense 86, Concepcion 26)
Ñublense corners for 4.38 a game, Concepcion 4.31, together 8.69 against a 9.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Ñublense 4.60 and Concepcion 4.50, together 9.10 against a 9.5 line.
The added-together figure is 0.8 below the 9.5 line; the blend is 0.4 below it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Ñublense 86 matches, Concepcion 26 matches): over 9.5: Ñublense 42%, Concepcion 42%.
Corners for at the venues: Ñublense at home 5.23 (13 matches), Concepcion away 3.17 (12 matches), together 8.40.
bet365 · line 9.5 (main line)Over 1.90 · Under 1.90
added together 8.69 is 0.8 below; blend 9.10 is 0.4 below
Ñublense 42%, Concepcion 42% of matches went over
bet365as of 01:00 on 30 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.67 · Under 2.18
added together 8.69 is 0.3 below; blend 9.10 is 0.1 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 01:00 on 30 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.92 · Under 1.90
added together 8.69 is 0.8 below; blend 9.10 is 0.4 below
Ñublense 42%, Concepcion 42% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 01:00 on 30 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.15 · Under 1.69
added together 8.69 is 1.3 below; blend 9.10 is 0.9 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 01:00 on 30 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.38 · Under 1.56
added together 8.69 is 1.8 below; blend 9.10 is 1.4 below
Ñublense 31%, Concepcion 35% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 01:00 on 30 Augolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
ÑublenseConcepcion
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2052%Over 3.5 cornersL2060%
L2038%Over 4.5 cornersL2035%
L2033%Over 5.5 cornersL2027%
L2042%Over 9.5 totalL2042%
L2031%Over 10.5 totalL2035%
L2039%Match corners W%L2035%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
25%Under 610%
34%6 to 845%
13%9 to 1125%
18%12 to 1415%
10%Over 145%
Ñublense · 61 matchesConcepcion · 20 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+1.1 · ÑUBLENSE
Ñublense · home
+1.1
net per game
Concepcion · away
-2.4
net per game
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