SERIE A
Monza
LLLDL
- Varela 51'
- Varela (pen) 63'
FT2 – 1
Sassuolo
LLWDW
- Adžić 88'
Friday, 18 September 2026 · 19:45
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won2.12
Estimate
2.87
bet365
2.93
Pinnacle
2.75
bet365
2.84
Pinnacle
−4.2%
Shortened
Draw
Lost3.70
Estimate
3.40
bet365
3.54
Pinnacle
3.30
bet365
3.32
Pinnacle
−2.9%
Shortened
Away
Lost3.90
Estimate
2.40
bet365
2.44
Pinnacle
2.50
bet365
2.67
Pinnacle
+4.2%
Drifted
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 27 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Monza
wonBY 1
Price4.50
Estimate4.31
▲ 4.3%lostBY 2
Price8.00
Estimate6.91
▲ 15.8%lostBY 3
Price17.00
Estimate15.51
▲ 9.6%lostBY 4+
Price34.00
Estimate32.42
▲ 4.9%Sassuolo
lostBY 1
Price4.33
Estimate6.29
▼ 31.2%lostBY 2
Price7.50
Estimate14.35
▼ 47.7%lostBY 3
Price17.00
Estimate46.38
▼ 63.3%lostBY 4+
Price29.00
Estimate154.95
▼ 81.3%Draw
lostScore Draw
Price4.00
Estimate5.37
▼ 25.5%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price12.00
Estimate11.75
▲ 2.2%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Won1.35
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won1.38
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Lost1.90
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won1.55
Estimate
—
bet365
2.14
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.02
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost2.84
Estimate
—
bet365
1.78
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 2–1 · HT 0–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost2.92
Estimate
3.40
bet365
3.51
Pinnacle
3.25
bet365
3.33
Pinnacle
−4.4%
Shortened
Draw
Won2.26
Estimate
2.25
bet365
2.32
Pinnacle
2.30
bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
+2.2%
Drifted
Away
Lost4.80
Estimate
2.87
bet365
3.10
Pinnacle
3.00
bet365
3.20
Pinnacle
+4.5%
Drifted
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 27 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
20:12Over 1.5 goals · from 0-0 at 25'ProjectedNo observed priceHit
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