SERIE A
Fiorentina
DLLLW
- Sánchez 51'
FT1 – 1
Napoli
WLLLW
- Gilmour 23'
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · 11:30 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost3.65
Estimate
3.30
bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.30
bet365
3.33
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Draw
Won3.90
Estimate
3.40
bet365
3.47
Pinnacle
3.30
bet365
3.43
Pinnacle
−2.9%
Shortened
Away
Lost2.14
Estimate
2.20
bet365
2.21
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.29
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 3 days before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Fiorentina
lostBY 1
Price5.00
Estimate6.21
▼ 19.5%lostBY 2
Price9.50
Estimate12.83
▼ 25.9%lostBY 3
Price21.00
Estimate36.87
▼ 43.0%lostBY 4+
Price41.00
Estimate105.16
▼ 61.0%Napoli
lostBY 1
Price4.00
Estimate4.53
▼ 11.7%lostBY 2
Price6.50
Estimate6.96
▼ 6.6%lostBY 3
Price13.00
Estimate14.74
▼ 11.8%lostBY 4+
Price23.00
Estimate28.10
▼ 18.2%Draw
wonScore Draw
Price4.33
Estimate5.22
▼ 17.1%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price11.00
Estimate15.38
▼ 28.5%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Won1.88
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Lost1.35
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Won1.39
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Void2.70
Estimate
—
bet365
2.47
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.40
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Void1.59
Estimate
—
bet365
1.60
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.65
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 1–1 · HT 0–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost4.40
Estimate
3.75
bet365
3.88
Pinnacle
3.60
bet365
3.84
Pinnacle
−4.0%
Shortened
Draw
Lost2.40
Estimate
2.20
bet365
2.26
Pinnacle
2.25
bet365
2.36
Pinnacle
+2.3%
Drifted
Away
Won2.88
Estimate
2.75
bet365
2.94
Pinnacle
2.87
bet365
2.86
Pinnacle
+4.4%
Drifted
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 3 days before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
12:42H2_OVER_0_5_INPLAY_FROM_HT_WITH_GOALSProjectedNo observed priceHit
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