EREDIVISIE
ADO Den Haag
DDWLL
Kick-off17:45
Sparta Rotterdam
LDWLW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 17:45
WIL WIN2.90+13.7%HEE WIN4.50+9.8%PEC WIN2.30-8.0%DRAW4.33+5.6%ADO WIN2.40+4.3%GAE WIN2.45+3.4%EXC WIN2.70+3.1%DRAW3.60+2.9%TEL WIN3.60+2.9%DRAW3.60-2.7%FEY WIN1.66DRAW3.60SPR WIN2.80DRAW3.60FOR WIN2.00UTR WIN2.25NEC WIN2.75DRAW3.70DRAW4.50GRO WIN5.50WIL WIN2.90+13.7%HEE WIN4.50+9.8%PEC WIN2.30-8.0%DRAW4.33+5.6%ADO WIN2.40+4.3%GAE WIN2.45+3.4%EXC WIN2.70+3.1%DRAW3.60+2.9%TEL WIN3.60+2.9%DRAW3.60-2.7%FEY WIN1.66DRAW3.60SPR WIN2.80DRAW3.60FOR WIN2.00UTR WIN2.25NEC WIN2.75DRAW3.70DRAW4.50GRO WIN5.50
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
7.3
ADO Den Haag · for
at home, per game
11.9
Total corners · projected
4.6
Sparta Rotterdam · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.62Fair2.64(38%)▼ 0.8%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.20
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
ADO Den HaagSparta Rotterdam
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2076%Over 3.5 cornersL2071%
L2064%Over 4.5 cornersL2053%
L2054%Over 5.5 cornersL2033%
L2054%Over 9.5 totalL2058%
L2038%Over 10.5 totalL2049%
L2071%Match corners W%L2037%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
7%Under 60%
29%6 to 813%
33%9 to 1139%
19%12 to 1429%
12%Over 1418%
ADO Den Haag · 42 matchesSparta Rotterdam · 38 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+3.2 · ADO DEN HAAG
ADO Den Haag · home
+3.2
net per game
Sparta Rotterdam · away
-2.3
net per game
Market
ADO Den Haag Corners Over / Under 5.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
Value Edge1.37
Tissue
1.37
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+37.6%
Value Edge
Under 5.5
Against Tissue3.75
Tissue
3.70
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-49.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
Sparta Rotterdam Corners Over / Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.5% over fair — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
No Edge To Take2.06
Tissue
2.04
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+0.5%
Below Bar
Under 4.5
Against Tissue1.97
Tissue
1.95
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-9.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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