EREDIVISIE
Excelsior
DLLLL
Kick-off20:00
Go Ahead Eagles
DDLWL
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 20:00 · Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
WIL WIN2.90+13.7%HEE WIN4.50+9.8%PEC WIN2.30-8.0%DRAW4.33+5.6%ADO WIN2.40+4.3%AJA WIN2.90+3.6%GAE WIN2.45+3.4%EXC WIN2.70+3.1%DRAW3.60+2.9%TEL WIN3.60+2.9%DRAW3.60-2.7%TWE WIN2.25+2.3%DRAW3.80FEY WIN1.66DRAW3.60SPR WIN2.80DRAW3.60FOR WIN2.00DRAW3.70UTR WIN2.25WIL WIN2.90+13.7%HEE WIN4.50+9.8%PEC WIN2.30-8.0%DRAW4.33+5.6%ADO WIN2.40+4.3%AJA WIN2.90+3.6%GAE WIN2.45+3.4%EXC WIN2.70+3.1%DRAW3.60+2.9%TEL WIN3.60+2.9%DRAW3.60-2.7%TWE WIN2.25+2.3%DRAW3.80FEY WIN1.66DRAW3.60SPR WIN2.80DRAW3.60FOR WIN2.00DRAW3.70UTR WIN2.25
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.5
Excelsior · for
at home, per game
11.7
Total corners · projected
5.2
Go Ahead Eagles · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.60Fair3.65(27%)▼ 28.8%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.00
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge1.37
Tissue
1.37
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+35.3%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue3.75
Tissue
3.70
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-45.2%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
ExcelsiorGo Ahead Eagles
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2055%Over 3.5 cornersL2073%
L2059%Over 4.5 cornersL2054%
L2036%Over 5.5 cornersL2040%
L2047%Over 9.5 totalL2056%
L2037%Over 10.5 totalL2052%
L2039%Match corners W%L2045%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
13%Under 65%
32%6 to 823%
32%9 to 1130%
18%12 to 1425%
5%Over 1418%
Excelsior · 38 matchesGo Ahead Eagles · 44 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.8 · EXCELSIOR
Excelsior · home
+1.8
net per game
Go Ahead Eagles · away
-1.6
net per game
Market
Excelsior Corners Over / Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge1.29
Tissue
1.28
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+52.0%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue4.60
Tissue
4.60
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-60.0%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
Go Ahead Eagles Corners Over / Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
No Edge To Take1.71
Tissue
1.70
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue2.44
Tissue
2.42
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-11.0%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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