EREDIVISIE
Ajax
WWLWW
- Brandt 32'
- Arokodare 64'
FT2 – 2
Excelsior
LWWDL
- Hartjes 45+1'
- Sliti 62'
Saturday, 19 September 2026 · 19:00 · Johan Cruijff Arena
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost1.64
Estimate
1.25
bet365
1.23
Pinnacle
1.25
bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Draw
Won4.60
Estimate
6.50
bet365
6.77
Pinnacle
6.50
bet365
7.87
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Lost5.90
Estimate
9.50
bet365
9.70
Pinnacle
11.00
bet365
11.63
Pinnacle
+15.8%
Drifted
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 2 days before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Ajax
lostBY 1
Price4.50
Estimate4.25
▲ 5.9%lostBY 2
Price4.33
Estimate5.32
▼ 18.6%lostBY 3
Price5.50
Estimate9.15
▼ 39.9%lostBY 4+
Price4.33
Estimate12.92
▼ 66.5%Excelsior
lostBY 1
Price12.00
Estimate9.03
▲ 32.9%lostBY 2
Price26.00
Estimate22.94
▲ 13.3%lostBY 3
Price81.00
Estimate81.85
▼ 1.0%lostBY 4+
Price101.00
Estimate304.92
▼ 66.9%Draw
wonScore Draw
Price7.50
Estimate6.10
▲ 23.0%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price34.00
Estimate17.75
▲ 91.6%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Won1.21
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Lost1.29
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Won2.58
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Void1.28
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Void4.60
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 2–2 · HT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost2.26
Estimate
1.57
bet365
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
bet365
1.52
Pinnacle
−2.5%
Shortened
Draw
Won2.56
Estimate
3.20
bet365
3.38
Pinnacle
3.25
bet365
3.59
Pinnacle
+1.6%
Drifted
Away
Lost6.20
Estimate
7.50
bet365
7.78
Pinnacle
8.50
bet365
8.72
Pinnacle
+13.3%
Drifted
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 2 days before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
19:16First half over 0.5 goalsProjectedNo observed priceHit
20:07H2_OVER_0_5_INPLAY_FROM_HT_WITH_GOALSProjectedNo observed priceHit
20:07H2_OVER_1_5_INPLAY_FROM_HT_WITH_GOALSProjectedNo observed priceHit
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