EREDIVISIE
Ajax
WWWLW
- Klaassen 41'
- Brandt 45'
- Tsygankov 69'
- Gloukh 74'
- Dolberg 87'
FT5 – 1
Willem II
LLDLD
- Ciranni 76'
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 · 19:00 · Johan Cruijff Arena
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 5–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.2
Ajax · for
this season, per game
10.4
Total corners · past games added together
4.3
Willem II · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price15.00
LOST6 to 8
Price4.00
LOST9 to 11
Price2.62
LOST12 to 14
Price3.60
LOSTOver 14
Price6.00
WONMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 10.5
Settled · FT 5–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.77
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
2.01
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 19:00 on 15 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 19:00 on 15 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 5–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 19:00 on 15 Septolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 10.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
9.5––1.532.38
102.002.371.582.28
10.51.901.901.772.01
112.621.832.001.79
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 19:00 on 15 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 19:00 on 15 Septolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (10.5)
OverUnder
81.305.00
91.533.40
101.832.37
112.621.72
123.251.53
134.331.33
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 19:00 on 15 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Ajax -41.90
Tie after the handicap8.00
Willem II +52.00
bet365as of 19:00 on 15 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Ajax 11 matches; Willem II 12 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Ajax 98, Willem II 84)
Ajax corners for 6.18 a game, Willem II 4.25, together 10.43 against a 10.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Ajax 6.47 and Willem II 3.90, together 10.36 against a 10.5 line.
The added-together figure is 0.1 below the 10.5 line; the blend is 0.1 below it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Ajax 98 matches, Willem II 84 matches): over 10.5: Ajax 35%, Willem II 52%.
Corners for at the venues: Ajax at home 6.00 (6 matches), Willem II away 2.33 (6 matches), together 8.33.
bet365 · line 10.5 (main line)Over 1.90 · Under 1.90
added together 10.43 is 0.1 below; blend 10.36 is 0.1 below
Ajax 35%, Willem II 52% of matches went over
bet365as of 19:00 on 15 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.53 · Under 2.38
added together 10.43 is 0.9 above; blend 10.36 is 0.9 above
Ajax 44%, Willem II 60% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 19:00 on 15 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 1.58 · Under 2.28
added together 10.43 is 0.4 above; blend 10.36 is 0.4 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 19:00 on 15 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 1.77 · Under 2.01
added together 10.43 is 0.1 below; blend 10.36 is 0.1 below
Ajax 35%, Willem II 52% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 19:00 on 15 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 11Over 2.00 · Under 1.79
added together 10.43 is 0.6 below; blend 10.36 is 0.6 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 19:00 on 15 Septolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
AjaxWillem II
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2072%Over 3.5 cornersL2076%
L2056%Over 4.5 cornersL2050%
L2043%Over 5.5 cornersL2035%
L2044%Over 9.5 totalL2060%
L2035%Over 10.5 totalL2052%
L2054%Match corners W%L2050%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
13%Under 66%
20%6 to 815%
35%9 to 1135%
24%12 to 1432%
9%Over 1412%
Ajax · 46 matchesWillem II · 34 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+2.9 · AJAX
Ajax · home
+2.9
net per game
Willem II · away
-2.5
net per game
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