EREDIVISIE
Fortuna Sittard
DWLWW
- Descotte 52'
FT1 – 5
Ajax
DWWWL
- Brandt 35'
- Kehrer 62'
- Klaassen 73'
- Dolberg 79'
- Baas 90+6'
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · 19:00 · Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–5
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
2.5
Fortuna Sittard · for
this season, per game
8.7
Total corners · past games added together
6.2
Ajax · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price15.00
LOST6 to 8
Price4.00
LOST9 to 11
Price2.62
LOST12 to 14
Price3.50
WONOver 14
Price6.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 10.5
Settled · FT 1–5
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.87
bet365
1.81
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.92
bet365
1.98
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 19:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 19:00 on 12 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 1–5
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.47
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 19:00 on 12 Septolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 10.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
9.5––1.502.47
101.832.501.612.24
10.51.871.921.811.98
112.371.832.011.77
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 19:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 19:00 on 12 Septolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (10.5)
OverUnder
81.305.00
91.503.40
101.832.50
123.251.53
134.331.33
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 19:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Fortuna Sittard +32.10
Tie after the handicap8.50
Ajax -31.90
bet365as of 19:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Fortuna Sittard 11 matches; Ajax 11 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Fortuna Sittard 79, Ajax 98)
Fortuna Sittard corners for 2.55 a game, Ajax 6.18, together 8.73 against a 10.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Fortuna Sittard 3.05 and Ajax 7.00, together 10.05 against a 10.5 line.
The added-together figure is 1.8 below the 10.5 line; the blend is 0.5 below it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Fortuna Sittard 79 matches, Ajax 98 matches): over 10.5: Fortuna Sittard 47%, Ajax 35%.
Corners for at the venues: Fortuna Sittard at home 4.40 (5 matches), Ajax away 6.40 (5 matches), together 10.80.
bet365 · line 10.5 (main line)Over 1.87 · Under 1.92
added together 8.73 is 1.8 below; blend 10.05 is 0.5 below
Fortuna Sittard 47%, Ajax 35% of matches went over
bet365as of 19:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.50 · Under 2.47
added together 8.73 is 0.8 below; blend 10.05 is 0.5 above
Fortuna Sittard 56%, Ajax 44% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 19:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 1.61 · Under 2.24
added together 8.73 is 1.3 below; blend 10.05 is level with
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 19:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 1.81 · Under 1.98
added together 8.73 is 1.8 below; blend 10.05 is 0.5 below
Fortuna Sittard 47%, Ajax 35% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 19:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 11Over 2.01 · Under 1.77
added together 8.73 is 2.3 below; blend 10.05 is 1.0 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 19:00 on 12 Septolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Fortuna SittardAjax
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2062%Over 3.5 cornersL2071%
L2044%Over 4.5 cornersL2056%
L2024%Over 5.5 cornersL2043%
L2056%Over 9.5 totalL2044%
L2047%Over 10.5 totalL2035%
L2026%Match corners W%L2052%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
6%Under 613%
21%6 to 821%
29%9 to 1135%
26%12 to 1423%
18%Over 148%
Fortuna Sittard · 34 matchesAjax · 48 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+0.2 · AJAX
Fortuna Sittard · home
-1.0
net per game
Ajax · away
+0.2
net per game
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