SBI
LIGUE 1
Toulouse
WDWDL
Kick-off19:45
Strasbourg
LLLLW
Friday, 6 November 2026 · 19:45 · Stadium de Toulouse
DRAW9.00+12.5%TRO WIN19.00+11.8%AUX WIN4.33+8.3%DRAW4.00+8.1%PFC WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW3.80+2.7%TOU WIN2.05+2.5%STR WIN3.30+1.5%PSG WIN1.12LEN WIN2.05OM WIN3.10DRAW3.75ASM WIN1.72MAN WIN4.33DRAW3.80LYO WIN2.30B29 WIN2.87DRAW3.60ANG WIN3.30DRAW3.50DRAW9.00+12.5%TRO WIN19.00+11.8%AUX WIN4.33+8.3%DRAW4.00+8.1%PFC WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW3.80+2.7%TOU WIN2.05+2.5%STR WIN3.30+1.5%PSG WIN1.12LEN WIN2.05OM WIN3.10DRAW3.75ASM WIN1.72MAN WIN4.33DRAW3.80LYO WIN2.30B29 WIN2.87DRAW3.60ANG WIN3.30DRAW3.50
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
ToulouseStrasbourg
2.4
Team cards · per game
2.1
4.4
Total match cards · per game
4.2
Hit rates · home v away
L2043%
Cards match bet W%
L2038%
L2083%
Both teams carded
L2079%
L2066%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2060%
L2069%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2060%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L20100%
Over 0.5 team cards
L20100%
L2067%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2075%
L2039%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2050%
L2017%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2021%
Team cards by line · overall
L2097%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2089%
L2066%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2060%
L2046%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2032%
L2017%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2015%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 19 matches
Match average
4.21 YELLOWS / GAME
Mathieu Vernice
Ligue 1 · 19 matches in the last 12 months
19
Apps
80
Yellows
4.21
Yellows / game
6
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards2.21 avg
Away cards2.32 avg
Both teams14/1974%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref89%+1.517/19 matches
Ref79%+2.515/19 matches
Ref58%+3.511/19 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 65%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 65%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source74%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source65%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source63%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source58%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model65%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
—
No Edge
Under 4.5
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Toulouse (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source67%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source66%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source29%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model54%MasterP(over 1.5)
Strasbourg (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source75%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source60%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source35%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model57%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Against Tissue
1.24
Tissue
1.23
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.16
Bet365
-3.3%
Against Tissue
No
Against Tissue
5.30
Tissue
5.30
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
5.00
Bet365
-3.8%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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