SBI
LIGUE 2
Montpellier
DWWWW
Kick-off19:00
Metz
DLWDL
Friday, 6 November 2026 · 19:00
LAV WIN7.00-12.5%DRAW4.20-6.7%STE WIN1.36+4.6%DRAW3.00-3.2%NAN WIN2.20PAU WIN2.90U GLS1.85O GLS1.95BTTS YES1.83BTTS NO1.83SOC WIN5.00ASN WIN1.61DRAW3.40O GLS2.30U GLS1.60BTTS NO1.80BTTS YES1.90DRAW2.90USB WIN2.30LAFO WIN2.90LAV WIN7.00-12.5%DRAW4.20-6.7%STE WIN1.36+4.6%DRAW3.00-3.2%NAN WIN2.20PAU WIN2.90U GLS1.85O GLS1.95BTTS YES1.83BTTS NO1.83SOC WIN5.00ASN WIN1.61DRAW3.40O GLS2.30U GLS1.60BTTS NO1.80BTTS YES1.90DRAW2.90USB WIN2.30LAFO WIN2.90
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.0
Montpellier · for
at home, per game
11.1
Total corners · projected
μ 11.06
5.0
Metz · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.62Fair2.83(35%)▼ 7.3%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.20
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge
1.51
Tissue
1.50
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+30.1%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue
3.00
Tissue
2.98
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-34.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
MontpellierMetz
5.0
Corners for · per game
4.6
4.9
Corners against · per game
4.9
Hit rates · over markets
L2077%
Over 3.5 corners
L2071%
L2051%
Over 4.5 corners
L2045%
L2037%
Over 5.5 corners
L2030%
L2049%
Over 9.5 total
L2049%
L2036%
Over 10.5 total
L2035%
L2044%
Match corners W%
L2034%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
8%
Under 6
5%
23%
6 to 8
37%
36%
9 to 11
39%
26%
12 to 14
15%
8%
Over 14
5%
Montpellier · 39 matchesMetz · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.5 · MONTPELLIER
Montpellier · home
+1.5
net per game
For
5.5
Against
4.0
Metz · away
-1.3
net per game
For
4.2
Against
5.5
Market

Montpellier Corners Over / Under 5.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
Value Edge
1.79
Tissue
1.78
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+14.9%
Value Edge
Under 5.5
Against Tissue
2.28
Tissue
2.28
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-22.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Metz Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.36
Tissue
1.35
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+22.0%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
3.85
Tissue
3.80
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-41.3%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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