SBI
PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester United
DLLLW
Kick-off16:30
Aston Villa
WWLDL
Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 16:30 · Old Trafford
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Manchester UnitedAston Villa
2.1
Team cards · per game
1.8
4.3
Total match cards · per game
4.1
Hit rates · home v away
L2037%
Cards match bet W%
L2048%
L2077%
Both teams carded
L2074%
L2063%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2057%
L2069%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2059%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2089%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2088%
L2067%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2072%
L2033%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2048%
L2022%
Over 3.5 team cards
L208%
Team cards by line · overall
L2086%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2080%
L2063%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2057%
L2040%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2035%
L2014%
Over 3.5 team cards
L207%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 34 matches
Match average
4.74 YELLOWS / GAME
C. Kavanagh
Premier League · 34 matches in the last 12 months
34
Apps
161
Yellows
4.74
Yellows / game
8
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards2.26 avg
Away cards2.71 avg
Both teams28/3482%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref94%+1.532/34 matches
Ref82%+2.528/34 matches
Ref76%+3.526/34 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 68%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 68%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source69%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source64%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source63%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source76%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model68%MasterP(over 3.5)
Manchester United (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source67%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source63%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source28%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model53%MasterP(over 1.5)
Aston Villa (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source72%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source57%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source33%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model54%MasterP(over 1.5)
Card prices for this fixture are captured closer to kick-off.