SBI
PREMIER LEAGUE
Fulham
LWWLD
Kick-off15:00
Newcastle United
LLWLL
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 · Craven Cottage
CRY WIN5.25+21.2%HUL WIN15.00-21.1%CVC WIN4.75+9.7%NFO WIN4.75+9.7%NEW WIN3.40+9.7%DRAW3.75+7.1%DRAW7.50+7.1%CHE WIN2.00+5.3%TOT WIN2.62-4.7%LEE WIN2.60+4.0%BOU WIN1.90+3.8%ARS WIN1.18+3.5%DRAW4.33+3.1%LIV WIN1.60-3.0%DRAW3.60+2.9%DRAW3.60+2.9%BRE WIN3.80+2.7%DRAW3.80+2.7%SUN WIN3.60-2.7%IPS WIN3.80-2.6%CRY WIN5.25+21.2%HUL WIN15.00-21.1%CVC WIN4.75+9.7%NFO WIN4.75+9.7%NEW WIN3.40+9.7%DRAW3.75+7.1%DRAW7.50+7.1%CHE WIN2.00+5.3%TOT WIN2.62-4.7%LEE WIN2.60+4.0%BOU WIN1.90+3.8%ARS WIN1.18+3.5%DRAW4.33+3.1%LIV WIN1.60-3.0%DRAW3.60+2.9%DRAW3.60+2.9%BRE WIN3.80+2.7%DRAW3.80+2.7%SUN WIN3.60-2.7%IPS WIN3.80-2.6%
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
FulhamNewcastle United
2.2
Team cards · per game
2.3
3.9
Total match cards · per game
4.8
Hit rates · home v away
L2032%
Cards match bet W%
L2040%
L2070%
Both teams carded
L2087%
L2059%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2069%
L2054%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2067%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2094%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2091%
L2067%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2064%
L2033%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2032%
L2017%
Over 3.5 team cards
L209%
Team cards by line · overall
L2092%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2093%
L2059%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2069%
L2032%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2042%
L2016%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2016%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 25 matches
Match average
4.48 YELLOWS / GAME
R. Jones
Premier League · 25 matches in the last 12 months
25
Apps
112
Yellows
4.48
Yellows / game
1
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards2.36 avg
Away cards2.16 avg
Both teams21/2584%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref92%+1.523/25 matches
Ref88%+2.522/25 matches
Ref64%+3.516/25 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 61%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 61%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source59%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source61%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source61%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source64%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model61%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.4% over fair — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
No Edge To Take
1.64
Tissue
1.63
At exch margin
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+4.4%
Below Bar
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
2.60
Tissue
2.58
At exch margin
2.18
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-16.7%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Fulham 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
1.77
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
—
No Edge
Newcastle United 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
1.96
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Fulham (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source67%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source59%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source28%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model51%MasterP(over 1.5)
Newcastle United (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source64%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source69%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source39%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model57%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.8% over fair — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
1.28
Tissue
1.27
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
+0.8%
Below Bar
No
Against Tissue
4.70
Tissue
4.70
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
3.75
Bet365
-18.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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