PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds United
WWDDL
- Miley (og) 32'
- Bogle 34'
- Calvert-Lewin 45+1'
- Okafor 59'
FT4 – 1
Newcastle United
DWWDW
- Touré 90'
Monday, 14 September 2026 · 20:00 · Elland Road
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.1
Leeds United · for
this season, per game
8.6
Total corners · past games added together
4.4
Newcastle United · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price13.00
LOST6 to 8
Price3.75
LOST9 to 11
Price2.62
WON12 to 14
Price3.60
LOSTOver 14
Price7.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 10.5
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.01
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 14 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 14 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.28
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 20:00 on 14 Septolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Corners 0
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Leeds United 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.87
bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Newcastle United 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.92
bet365
2.07
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 14 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 14 Septolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 10.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
91.573.251.462.67
9.5––1.622.28
101.902.251.782.05
10.52.001.802.011.83
112.501.802.281.63
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 20:00 on 14 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 14 Septolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (10.5)
OverUnder
81.334.50
91.573.25
112.501.80
123.401.50
134.501.30
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 20:00 on 14 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Leeds United -12.37
Tie after the handicap8.50
Newcastle United +11.72
bet365as of 20:00 on 14 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Leeds United 9 matches; Newcastle United 9 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Leeds United 98, Newcastle United 105)
Leeds United corners for 4.11 a game, Newcastle United 4.44, together 8.56 against a 10.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Leeds United 4.78 and Newcastle United 4.28, together 9.06 against a 10.5 line.
The added-together figure is 1.9 below the 10.5 line; the blend is 1.4 below it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Leeds United 98 matches, Newcastle United 105 matches): over 10.5: Leeds United 40%, Newcastle United 51%.
Corners for at the venues: Leeds United at home 4.00 (4 matches, small sample), Newcastle United away 5.50 (4 matches, small sample), together 9.50.
bet365 · line 10.5 (main line)Over 2.00 · Under 1.80
added together 8.56 is 1.9 below; blend 9.06 is 1.4 below
Leeds United 40%, Newcastle United 51% of matches went over
bet365as of 20:00 on 14 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.46 · Under 2.67
added together 8.56 is 0.4 below; blend 9.06 is 0.1 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 14 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.62 · Under 2.28
added together 8.56 is 0.9 below; blend 9.06 is 0.4 below
Leeds United 52%, Newcastle United 62% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 14 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 1.78 · Under 2.05
added together 8.56 is 1.4 below; blend 9.06 is 0.9 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 14 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.01 · Under 1.83
added together 8.56 is 1.9 below; blend 9.06 is 1.4 below
Leeds United 40%, Newcastle United 51% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 14 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 11Over 2.28 · Under 1.63
added together 8.56 is 2.4 below; blend 9.06 is 1.9 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 14 Septolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Leeds UnitedNewcastle United
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2069%Over 3.5 cornersL2073%
L2064%Over 4.5 cornersL2062%
L2045%Over 5.5 cornersL2050%
L2052%Over 9.5 totalL2062%
L2040%Over 10.5 totalL2051%
L2039%Match corners W%L2049%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
14%Under 67%
19%6 to 820%
39%9 to 1127%
14%12 to 1427%
14%Over 1420%
Leeds United · 36 matchesNewcastle United · 45 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+3.5 · LEEDS UNITED
Leeds United · home
+3.5
net per game
Newcastle United · away
+0.1
net per game
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