PREMIERSHIP
St. Mirren
DWWDW
- Agrafiotis (pen) 22'
FT1 – 2
Celtic
WWWWW
- Scales 51'
- Yang 68'
Saturday, 5 September 2026 · 20:00 · The Smisa Stadium
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.0
St. Mirren · for
this season, per game
13.5
Total corners · past games added together
9.5
Celtic · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price—
LOST6 to 8
Price—
LOST9 to 11
Price—
LOST12 to 14
Price—
LOSTOver 14
Price—
WONMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 10.5
Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.97
bet365
1.93
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.82
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 5 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 5 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.37
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 20:00 on 5 Septolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 10.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
9.5––1.572.37
101.902.251.712.12
10.51.971.821.931.88
112.501.802.181.68
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 20:00 on 5 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 5 Septolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (10.5)
OverUnder
81.334.50
91.573.25
112.501.80
123.401.50
134.501.30
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 20:00 on 5 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
St. Mirren +31.90
Tie after the handicap8.50
Celtic -32.20
bet365as of 20:00 on 5 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: St. Mirren 12 matches; Celtic 12 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (St. Mirren 88, Celtic 105)
St. Mirren corners for 4.00 a game, Celtic 9.50, together 13.50 against a 10.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives St. Mirren 3.71 and Celtic 7.92, together 11.63 against a 10.5 line.
The added-together figure is 3.0 above the 10.5 line; the blend is 1.1 above it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, St. Mirren 88 matches, Celtic 105 matches): over 10.5: St. Mirren 56%, Celtic 63%.
Corners for at the venues: St. Mirren at home 4.50 (6 matches), Celtic away 9.50 (6 matches), together 14.00.
bet365 · line 10.5 (main line)Over 1.97 · Under 1.82
added together 13.50 is 3.0 above; blend 11.63 is 1.1 above
St. Mirren 56%, Celtic 63% of matches went over
bet365as of 20:00 on 5 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.57 · Under 2.37
added together 13.50 is 4.0 above; blend 11.63 is 2.1 above
St. Mirren 64%, Celtic 68% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 5 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 1.71 · Under 2.12
added together 13.50 is 3.5 above; blend 11.63 is 1.6 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 5 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 1.93 · Under 1.88
added together 13.50 is 3.0 above; blend 11.63 is 1.1 above
St. Mirren 56%, Celtic 63% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 5 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 11Over 2.18 · Under 1.68
added together 13.50 is 2.5 above; blend 11.63 is 0.6 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 5 Septolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
St. MirrenCeltic
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2081%Over 3.5 cornersL2080%
L2055%Over 4.5 cornersL2077%
L2042%Over 5.5 cornersL2072%
L2064%Over 9.5 totalL2068%
L2056%Over 10.5 totalL2063%
L2047%Match corners W%L2065%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
6%Under 69%
17%6 to 824%
31%9 to 1113%
36%12 to 1437%
11%Over 1417%
St. Mirren · 36 matchesCeltic · 46 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+2.1 · CELTIC
St. Mirren · home
-0.2
net per game
Celtic · away
+2.1
net per game
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