CARABAO CUP
Cardiff City
DWWWL
- Salech (pen) 29'
- Salech 43'
- Moylan 77'
FT3 – 2
Swindon Town
WLDLL
- Osho (og) 9'
- Glatzel 62'
- Debayo 90'
Saturday, 8 August 2026 · 15:00
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.5
Cardiff City · for
this season, per game
8.5
Total corners · past games added together
3.0
Swindon Town · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price—
LOST6 to 8
Price—
LOST9 to 11
Price—
WON12 to 14
Price—
LOSTOver 14
Price—
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 10.5
Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.82
bet365
1.93
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.97
bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.27
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 10.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
9.5––1.582.27
102.002.501.722.05
10.51.821.971.931.83
112.621.902.171.64
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (10.5)
OverUnder
81.364.33
91.613.00
101.802.50
112.621.72
123.501.44
135.001.28
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Cardiff City -42.20
Tie after the handicap8.50
Swindon Town +41.90
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Cardiff City 2 matches, small sample; Swindon Town 1 match, small sample
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Cardiff City 108, Swindon Town 107)
Cardiff City corners for 5.50 a game, Swindon Town 3.00, together 8.50 against a 10.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Cardiff City 5.75 and Swindon Town 3.00, together 8.75 against a 10.5 line.
The added-together figure is 2.0 below the 10.5 line; the blend is 1.8 below it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Cardiff City 108 matches, Swindon Town 107 matches): over 10.5: Cardiff City 40%, Swindon Town 50%.
Corners for at the venues: Cardiff City at home 5.50 (2 matches, small sample), Swindon Town away 3.00 (1 match, small sample), together 8.50.
bet365 · line 10.5 (main line)Over 1.82 · Under 1.97
added together 8.50 is 2.0 below; blend 8.75 is 1.8 below
Cardiff City 40%, Swindon Town 50% of matches went over
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.58 · Under 2.27
added together 8.50 is 1.0 below; blend 8.75 is 0.8 below
Cardiff City 54%, Swindon Town 63% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 1.72 · Under 2.05
added together 8.50 is 1.5 below; blend 8.75 is 1.3 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 1.93 · Under 1.83
added together 8.50 is 2.0 below; blend 8.75 is 1.8 below
Cardiff City 40%, Swindon Town 50% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 11Over 2.17 · Under 1.64
added together 8.50 is 2.5 below; blend 8.75 is 2.3 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Cardiff CitySwindon Town
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2080%Over 3.5 cornersL2080%
L2058%Over 4.5 cornersL2058%
L2046%Over 5.5 cornersL2041%
L2054%Over 9.5 totalL2063%
L2040%Over 10.5 totalL2050%
L2060%Match corners W%L2040%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
8%Under 63%
15%6 to 810%
43%9 to 1140%
25%12 to 1430%
10%Over 1418%
Cardiff City · 40 matchesSwindon Town · 40 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+2.3 · CARDIFF CITY
Cardiff City · home
+2.3
net per game
Swindon Town · away
-2.0
net per game
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