CARABAO CUP
Burnley
LLDLD
- Flemming 47'
FT (pens)1 – 1
Notts County
WDWDW
- Roberts 42'
Saturday, 8 August 2026 · 15:00 · Turf Moor
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
9.0
Burnley · for
this season, per game
12.0
Total corners · past games added together
3.0
Notts County · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price—
LOST6 to 8
Price—
WON9 to 11
Price—
LOST12 to 14
Price—
LOSTOver 14
Price—
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.55
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.33
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.97
bet365
1.93
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.82
bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
91.902.371.702.07
9.51.971.821.931.83
102.501.802.211.62
10.5––2.481.49
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9.5)
OverUnder
71.305.00
81.533.40
102.501.80
113.501.50
125.001.28
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Burnley -21.90
Tie after the handicap8.00
Notts County +22.20
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Burnley 2 matches, small sample; Notts County 1 match, small sample
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Burnley 101, Notts County 110)
Burnley corners for 9.00 a game, Notts County 3.00, together 12.00 against a 9.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Burnley 6.50 and Notts County 3.50, together 10.00 against a 9.5 line.
The added-together figure is 2.5 above the 9.5 line; the blend is 0.5 above it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Burnley 101 matches, Notts County 110 matches): over 9.5: Burnley 45%, Notts County 45%.
Corners for at the venues: Burnley at home 4.00 (1 match, small sample), Notts County away 3.00 (1 match, small sample), together 7.00.
bet365 · line 9.5 (main line)Over 1.97 · Under 1.82
added together 12.00 is 2.5 above; blend 10.00 is 0.5 above
Burnley 45%, Notts County 45% of matches went over
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.70 · Under 2.07
added together 12.00 is 3.0 above; blend 10.00 is 1.0 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.93 · Under 1.83
added together 12.00 is 2.5 above; blend 10.00 is 0.5 above
Burnley 45%, Notts County 45% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.21 · Under 1.62
added together 12.00 is 2.0 above; blend 10.00 is level with
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.48 · Under 1.49
added together 12.00 is 1.5 above; blend 10.00 is 0.5 below
Burnley 32%, Notts County 35% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
BurnleyNotts County
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2044%Over 3.5 cornersL2064%
L2049%Over 4.5 cornersL2053%
L2030%Over 5.5 cornersL2040%
L2045%Over 9.5 totalL2045%
L2032%Over 10.5 totalL2035%
L2017%Match corners W%L2061%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
8%Under 67%
33%6 to 839%
31%9 to 1130%
25%12 to 1423%
3%Over 142%
Burnley · 36 matchesNotts County · 44 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+0.7 · BURNLEY
Burnley · home
+0.7
net per game
Notts County · away
-0.6
net per game
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