CARABAO CUP
Watford
LLLLL
- Bola 90+9'
FT1 – 0
Crawley Town
LDDDW
Saturday, 8 August 2026 · 15:00
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
7.0
Watford · for
this season, per game
9.0
Total corners · past games added together
2.0
Crawley Town · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price17.00
LOST6 to 8
Price4.50
LOST9 to 11
Price2.75
LOST12 to 14
Price3.25
WONOver 14
Price5.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 10.5
Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
1.82
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.96
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.52
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.43
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 10.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
9.5––1.522.43
101.662.751.632.20
10.51.851.951.821.96
112.251.832.031.76
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (10.5)
OverUnder
81.256.00
91.403.75
101.662.75
122.621.66
133.501.44
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Watford -42.10
Tie after the handicap8.50
Crawley Town +41.90
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Watford 2 matches, small sample; Crawley Town 2 matches, small sample
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Watford 109, Crawley Town 106)
Watford corners for 7.00 a game, Crawley Town 2.00, together 9.00 against a 10.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Watford 8.00 and Crawley Town 1.75, together 9.75 against a 10.5 line.
The added-together figure is 1.5 below the 10.5 line; the blend is 0.8 below it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Watford 109 matches, Crawley Town 106 matches): over 10.5: Watford 43%, Crawley Town 52%.
Corners for at the venues: Watford at home 7.00 (2 matches, small sample), Crawley Town away 2.00 (2 matches, small sample), together 9.00.
bet365 · line 10.5 (main line)Over 1.85 · Under 1.95
added together 9.00 is 1.5 below; blend 9.75 is 0.8 below
Watford 43%, Crawley Town 52% of matches went over
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.52 · Under 2.43
added together 9.00 is 0.5 below; blend 9.75 is 0.3 above
Watford 55%, Crawley Town 61% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 1.63 · Under 2.20
added together 9.00 is 1.0 below; blend 9.75 is 0.3 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 1.82 · Under 1.96
added together 9.00 is 1.5 below; blend 9.75 is 0.8 below
Watford 43%, Crawley Town 52% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 11Over 2.03 · Under 1.76
added together 9.00 is 2.0 below; blend 9.75 is 1.3 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
WatfordCrawley Town
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2066%Over 3.5 cornersL2059%
L2050%Over 4.5 cornersL2042%
L2036%Over 5.5 cornersL2033%
L2055%Over 9.5 totalL2061%
L2043%Over 10.5 totalL2052%
L2041%Match corners W%L2031%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
5%Under 60%
32%6 to 813%
29%9 to 1138%
22%12 to 1433%
12%Over 1415%
Watford · 41 matchesCrawley Town · 39 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+1.0 · WATFORD
Watford · home
+1.0
net per game
Crawley Town · away
-1.2
net per game
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