LEAGUE ONE
Notts County
WDWDD
- Smyth 78'
- Smyth (pen) 84'
FT2 – 1
Burton Albion
DDLDW
- Delap 22'
- Tilt 83'
Saturday, 29 August 2026 · 15:00
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
—
Notts County · for
at home, per game
—
Total corners · projected
—
Burton Albion · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price—
Fair11.59
LOST6 to 8
Price—
Fair2.45
WON9 to 11
Price—
Fair3.83
LOST12 to 14
Price—
Fair5.22
LOSTOver 14
Price—
Fair18.98
LOSTSeason shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Notts CountyBurton Albion
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2059%Over 3.5 cornersL2062%
L2051%Over 4.5 cornersL2044%
L2039%Over 5.5 cornersL2036%
L2046%Over 9.5 totalL2044%
L2032%Over 10.5 totalL2044%
L2059%Match corners W%L2041%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
7%Under 68%
41%6 to 838%
29%9 to 1126%
20%12 to 1421%
2%Over 148%
Notts County · 41 matchesBurton Albion · 39 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
NO DATA
Notts County · home
—
net per game
Burton Albion · away
—
net per game
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