SBI
LEAGUE ONE
Mansfield Town
DWLWL
  • Moriah-Welsh 17'
  • Moriah-Welsh 28'
  • Reed 45'
  • Russell 47'
  • Russell 56'
FT5 – 2
Luton Town
WWWDL
  • Wells (pen) 78'
  • Wells 90+2'
Sunday, 30 August 2026 · 15:00
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 5–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.6
Mansfield Town · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
μ 11.27
5.7
Luton Town · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price—
Fair11.50
LOST
6 to 8
Price—
Fair2.59
LOST
9 to 11
Price—
Fair4.15
WON
12 to 14
Price—
Fair5.98
LOST
Over 14
Price—
Fair8.41
LOST
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Mansfield TownLuton Town
4.7
Corners for · per game
6.0
4.8
Corners against · per game
4.6
Hit rates · over markets
L2057%
Over 3.5 corners
L2067%
L2044%
Over 4.5 corners
L2064%
L2031%
Over 5.5 corners
L2048%
L2043%
Over 9.5 total
L2064%
L2037%
Over 10.5 total
L2050%
L2038%
Match corners W%
L2057%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
8%
Under 6
5%
40%
6 to 8
33%
25%
9 to 11
31%
18%
12 to 14
17%
10%
Over 14
14%
Mansfield Town · 40 matchesLuton Town · 42 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.5 · MANSFIELD TOWN
Mansfield Town · home
+0.5
net per game
For
5.1
Against
4.6
Luton Town · away
-0.0
net per game
For
4.9
Against
5.0
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