LEAGUE ONE
AFC Wimbledon
WLLDL
- Hippolyte 88'
FT1 – 0
Wigan Athletic
DLLLL
Sunday, 30 August 2026 · 14:00
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.1
AFC Wimbledon · for
at home, per game
11.5
Total corners · projected
5.4
Wigan Athletic · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price11.00
Fair17.06
LOST6 to 8
Price3.50
Fair4.43
LOST9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair3.43
LOST12 to 14
Price4.00
Fair3.31
WONOver 14
Price8.00
Fair8.18
LOSTSeason shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
AFC WimbledonWigan Athletic
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2069%Over 3.5 cornersL2063%
L2056%Over 4.5 cornersL2046%
L2041%Over 5.5 cornersL2034%
L2053%Over 9.5 totalL2056%
L2044%Over 10.5 totalL2043%
L2052%Match corners W%L2038%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
7%Under 65%
19%6 to 833%
38%9 to 1120%
29%12 to 1433%
7%Over 1410%
AFC Wimbledon · 42 matchesWigan Athletic · 40 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.2 · AFC WIMBLEDON
AFC Wimbledon · home
+1.2
net per game
Wigan Athletic · away
-0.8
net per game
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