CHAMPIONSHIP
Watford
LDLLW
- Nabizada 90+1'
FT1 – 2
Stoke City
LLWWD
- McGlynn 45+4'
- Bocat 57'
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · 15:00
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
WatfordStoke City
Team cards · per game
Total match cards · per game
Season cards · league hub
Matches played this season: Watford 13 matches; Stoke City 14 matches
2.92Cards for per game2.29
2.31Cards against per game2.21
Hit rates · home v away
L2046%Cards match bet W%L2032%
L2083%Both teams cardedL2090%
L2076%Over 1.5 team cardsL2063%
L2061%Over 3.5 total cardsL2056%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2090%Over 0.5 team cardsL20100%
L2071%Over 1.5 team cardsL2063%
L2029%Over 2.5 team cardsL2042%
L2010%Over 3.5 team cardsL2021%
Team cards by line · overall
L2093%Over 0.5 team cardsL2093%
L2076%Over 1.5 team cardsL2063%
L2034%Over 2.5 team cardsL2037%
L2017%Over 3.5 team cardsL2020%
Officiating
Referee profile
Card profile · last 12 months · 28 matches
Match average
4.32 CARDS / GAME
4.25 yellows a game · 28 matches, last 12 months
L. Smith
28
Apps
119
Yellows
4.25
Yellows / game
2
Reds
Cards per game
Cards per game28 matches in the last 12 months · yellows and reds4.32
Yellows per game28 matches in the last 12 months4.25
Half-by-half card counts are not recorded for these matches, so no first-half or second-half split is shown.
Referee extras · this league season
Fouls per game6 matches20.17
Penalties awarded2 in 6 matches · 0.33 a game2
Team cards
Home cards28 matches, last 12 months2.07 avg
Away cards28 matches, last 12 months2.25 avg
Both teams25/2889%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref96%+1.527/28 matches
Ref82%+2.523/28 matches
Ref64%+3.518/28 matches
Line check
Line vs referee and teams
Bookmaker cards lines beside the referee and the two teams. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Referee: L. Smith, 28 matches in the last 12 months
- Teams, matches played this season: Watford 13 matches; Stoke City 14 matches
L. Smith averages 4.32 cards a game over 28 matches in the last 12 months, 0.2 below a 4.5 line.
In those matches L. Smith has shown the home side 2.07 cards a game and the away side 2.25 (28 matches).
Watford cards for 2.92 a game, Stoke City 2.29, together 5.21 against a 4.5 line.
Blending each side's cards for with the other's cards against gives Watford 2.57 and Stoke City 2.30, together 4.87 against a 4.5 line.
The added-together figure is 0.7 above the 4.5 line; the blend is 0.4 above it.
Cards for at the venues: Watford at home 3.00 (6 matches), Stoke City away 2.86 (7 matches), together 5.86.
bet365 · line 4.5 (main line)Over 1.83 · Under 1.83
referee 4.32 is 0.2 below; teams added together 5.21 is 0.7 above; blend 4.87 is 0.4 above
bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 3Over 1.26 · Under 3.58
referee 4.32 is 1.3 above; teams added together 5.21 is 2.2 above; blend 4.87 is 1.9 above
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 3.5Over 1.44 · Under 2.62
referee 4.32 is 0.8 above; teams added together 5.21 is 1.7 above; blend 4.87 is 1.4 above
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 4Over 1.65 · Under 2.17
referee 4.32 is 0.3 above; teams added together 5.21 is 1.2 above; blend 4.87 is 0.9 above
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 4.5Over 2.04 · Under 1.76
referee 4.32 is 0.2 below; teams added together 5.21 is 0.7 above; blend 4.87 is 0.4 above
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 5Over 2.65 · Under 1.45
referee 4.32 is 0.7 below; teams added together 5.21 is 0.2 above; blend 4.87 is 0.1 below
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 5.5Over 3.12 · Under 1.32
referee 4.32 is 1.2 below; teams added together 5.21 is 0.3 below; blend 4.87 is 0.6 below
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Averages
Cards · past-game averages
Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into one figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source55%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source59%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source57%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source64%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Average59%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 3.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 4.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
2.04
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 4.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
1.76
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Cards 0
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Watford 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Stoke City 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.72
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Watford (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source71%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source76%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source39%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average62%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Stoke City (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source63%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source63%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source33%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average53%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Both Teams To Receive A Card
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.16
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
5.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Market
Both Teams 2+ Cards
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Total cards lines
Every line bet365 and Pinnacle quote
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
3––1.263.58
3.51.662.101.442.62
4––1.652.17
4.51.831.832.041.76
5––2.651.45
5.5––3.121.32
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Asian Handicap Cards
Each side with the handicap it carries, in cards
bet365Pinnacle
Watford -0.5–2.57
Watford 01.902.05
Watford +0.51.851.62
Stoke City -0.51.952.17
Stoke City 01.901.72
Stoke City +0.5–1.45
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that handicap.
bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
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