CHAMPIONSHIP
Southampton
DWLWL
- Larin 25'
- Azaz 38'
- Scienza (pen) 55'
- Larin 62'
- Fellows 86'
FT5 – 1
Millwall
DLWWW
- Sykes 15'
Saturday, 29 August 2026 · 15:00
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
SouthamptonMillwall
Team cards · per game
Total match cards · per game
Season cards · league hub
Matches played this season: Southampton 14 matches; Millwall 14 matches
1.93Cards for per game2.00
2.79Cards against per game2.57
Hit rates · home v away
L2037%Cards match bet W%L2036%
L2070%Both teams cardedL2077%
L2060%Over 1.5 team cardsL2054%
L2058%Over 3.5 total cardsL2049%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2082%Over 0.5 team cardsL2086%
L2055%Over 1.5 team cardsL2071%
L2027%Over 2.5 team cardsL2043%
L2014%Over 3.5 team cardsL2014%
Team cards by line · overall
L2086%Over 0.5 team cardsL2087%
L2060%Over 1.5 team cardsL2054%
L2028%Over 2.5 team cardsL2026%
L209%Over 3.5 team cardsL2010%
Officiating
Referee profile
Card profile · last 12 months · 26 matches
Match average
3.73 CARDS / GAME
3.62 yellows a game · 26 matches, last 12 months
A. Herczeg
26
Apps
94
Yellows
3.62
Yellows / game
3
Reds
Cards per game
Cards per game26 matches in the last 12 months · yellows and reds3.73
Yellows per game26 matches in the last 12 months3.62
Half-by-half card counts are not recorded for these matches, so no first-half or second-half split is shown.
Referee extras · this league season
Fouls per game7 matches23.00
Penalties awarded2 in 7 matches · 0.29 a game2
Team cards
Home cards26 matches, last 12 months1.85 avg
Away cards26 matches, last 12 months1.88 avg
Both teams21/2681%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref96%+1.525/26 matches
Ref69%+2.518/26 matches
Ref46%+3.512/26 matches
Line check
Line vs referee and teams
Bookmaker cards lines beside the referee and the two teams. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Referee: A. Herczeg, 26 matches in the last 12 months
- Teams, matches played this season: Southampton 14 matches; Millwall 14 matches
A. Herczeg averages 3.73 cards a game over 26 matches in the last 12 months, 0.2 above a 3.5 line.
In those matches A. Herczeg has shown the home side 1.85 cards a game and the away side 1.88 (26 matches).
Southampton cards for 1.93 a game, Millwall 2.00, together 3.93 against a 3.5 line.
Blending each side's cards for with the other's cards against gives Southampton 2.25 and Millwall 2.39, together 4.64 against a 3.5 line.
The added-together figure is 0.4 above the 3.5 line; the blend is 1.1 above it.
Cards for at the venues: Southampton at home 1.86 (7 matches), Millwall away 1.71 (7 matches), together 3.57.
bet365 · line 3.5 (main line)Over 1.66 · Under 2.10
referee 3.73 is 0.2 above; teams added together 3.93 is 0.4 above; blend 4.64 is 1.1 above
bet365as of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 3Over 1.36 · Under 2.94
referee 3.73 is 0.7 above; teams added together 3.93 is 0.9 above; blend 4.64 is 1.6 above
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 3.5Over 1.66 · Under 2.16
referee 3.73 is 0.2 above; teams added together 3.93 is 0.4 above; blend 4.64 is 1.1 above
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 4Over 2.03 · Under 1.78
referee 3.73 is 0.3 below; teams added together 3.93 is 0.1 below; blend 4.64 is 0.6 above
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 4.5Over 2.46 · Under 1.52
referee 3.73 is 0.8 below; teams added together 3.93 is 0.6 below; blend 4.64 is 0.1 above
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 5Over 3.29 · Under 1.30
referee 3.73 is 1.3 below; teams added together 3.93 is 1.1 below; blend 4.64 is 0.4 below
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Averages
Cards · past-game averages
Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into one figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 5–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source54%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source54%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source53%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source46%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Average52%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 3.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
2.16
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 29 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Cards 0
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Southampton 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.68
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Millwall 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.42
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Southampton (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source55%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source60%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source33%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average49%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Millwall (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source71%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source54%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source26%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average50%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Both Teams To Receive A Card
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.28
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
3.50
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 29 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Market
Both Teams 2+ Cards
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.37
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.53
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 29 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Total cards lines
Every line bet365 and Pinnacle quote
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
3––1.362.94
3.51.662.101.662.16
4––2.031.78
4.5––2.461.52
5––3.291.30
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 15:00 on 29 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Asian Handicap Cards
Each side with the handicap it carries, in cards
bet365Pinnacle
Southampton 0–2.68
Southampton +0.51.951.91
Southampton +1–1.54
Millwall -1–2.33
Millwall -0.51.851.83
Millwall 0–1.42
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that handicap.
bet365as of 15:00 on 29 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
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