CHAMPIONSHIP
Derby County
WLLLD
FT0 – 3
Swansea City
DWLWD
- Opoku 2'
- Eom 44'
- Ronald 90+1'
Saturday, 29 August 2026 · 12:30
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 0–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost2.56
Estimate
2.25
bet365
2.31
Pinnacle
2.25
bet365
2.31
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Draw
Lost3.85
Estimate
3.25
bet365
3.36
Pinnacle
3.25
bet365
3.36
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Won2.90
Estimate
3.20
bet365
3.14
Pinnacle
3.20
bet365
3.14
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 24 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 0–3
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Derby County
lostBY 1
Price—
Estimate4.97
—lostBY 2
Price—
Estimate8.48
—lostBY 3
Price—
Estimate19.98
—lostBY 4+
Price—
Estimate43.91
—Swansea City
lostBY 1
Price—
Estimate5.36
—lostBY 2
Price—
Estimate9.81
—wonBY 3
Price—
Estimate24.82
—lostBY 4+
Price—
Estimate60.03
—Draw
lostScore Draw
Price4.33
Estimate5.06
▼ 14.4%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price8.50
Estimate15.47
▼ 45.0%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 0–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Lost1.53
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won1.36
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Won1.65
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 0–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost1.89
Estimate
—
bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Won2.14
Estimate
—
bet365
2.28
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.28
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 0–3 · HT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost3.30
Estimate
3.00
bet365
2.98
Pinnacle
3.00
bet365
2.98
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Draw
Lost2.38
Estimate
2.10
bet365
2.17
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
2.17
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Won3.65
Estimate
3.75
bet365
3.86
Pinnacle
3.75
bet365
3.86
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 24 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
12:55Over 2.5 goals · from 1-0 at 25'ProjectedNo observed priceHit
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