CHAMPIONSHIP
Southampton
DWDWL
- Larin 8'
- Mubama 89'
- Manning (pen) 90+4'
FT3 – 1
Stoke City
LLLWL
- Galbraith 26'
- Ingelsson 90+3'
Saturday, 22 August 2026 · 15:00
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won1.69
Estimate
1.61
bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Draw
Lost4.40
Estimate
4.00
bet365
4.27
Pinnacle
4.00
bet365
4.27
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Lost5.70
Estimate
5.00
bet365
5.36
Pinnacle
5.00
bet365
5.36
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 24 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Southampton
lostBY 1
Price—
Estimate4.18
—wonBY 2
Price—
Estimate5.44
—lostBY 3
Price—
Estimate9.77
—lostBY 4+
Price—
Estimate14.82
—Stoke City
lostBY 1
Price—
Estimate8.61
—lostBY 2
Price—
Estimate22.05
—lostBY 3
Price—
Estimate79.73
—lostBY 4+
Price—
Estimate302.96
—Draw
lostScore Draw
Price5.00
Estimate5.99
▼ 16.6%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price13.00
Estimate15.78
▼ 17.6%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Won1.22
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won1.30
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Lost2.46
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won1.30
Estimate
—
bet365
1.24
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.24
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost4.40
Estimate
—
bet365
4.25
Pinnacle
—
bet365
4.25
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 3–1 · HT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost2.34
Estimate
2.10
bet365
2.09
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
2.09
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Draw
Won2.48
Estimate
2.40
bet365
2.51
Pinnacle
2.40
bet365
2.51
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Lost6.00
Estimate
5.00
bet365
5.54
Pinnacle
5.00
bet365
5.54
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 24 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
15:25Over 2.5 goals · from 1-0 at 25'ProjectedNo observed priceHit
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