CHAMPIONSHIP
Derby County
LWLLL
- Morris 26'
- Clark 49'
FT2 – 2
Cardiff City
WWLWD
- Ashford 19'
- Salech 39'
Saturday, 22 August 2026 · 15:00
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.4
Derby County · for
this season, per game
11.9
Total corners · past games added together
6.5
Cardiff City · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price11.00
LOST6 to 8
Price3.40
LOST9 to 11
Price2.60
LOST12 to 14
Price4.00
WONOver 14
Price8.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 10
Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 10
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 10
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 22 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 22 Augolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.74
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 15:00 on 22 Augolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Corners 0
Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Derby County 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Cardiff City 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.44
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 15:00 on 22 Augolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 10; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
91.722.751.552.41
9.5––1.742.10
102.102.001.941.88
10.5––2.151.70
112.751.662.481.52
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 15:00 on 22 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 22 Augolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (10)
OverUnder
71.226.50
81.404.00
91.722.75
112.751.66
123.751.40
135.501.25
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 15:00 on 22 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Derby County -12.00
Tie after the handicap8.00
Cardiff City +12.05
bet365as of 15:00 on 22 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Derby County 15 matches; Cardiff City 14 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Derby County 109, Cardiff City 108)
Derby County corners for 5.40 a game, Cardiff City 6.50, together 11.90 against a 10 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Derby County 5.16 and Cardiff City 5.92, together 11.08 against a 10 line.
The added-together figure is 1.9 above the 10 line; the blend is 1.1 above it.
Hit rates are kept for half lines only; either side of 10 (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Derby County 109 matches, Cardiff City 108 matches): over 9.5: Derby County 51%, Cardiff City 54%; over 10.5: Derby County 40%, Cardiff City 40%.
Corners for at the venues: Derby County at home 6.00 (8 matches), Cardiff City away 6.14 (7 matches), together 12.14.
bet365 · line 10 (main line)Over 2.10 · Under 2.00
added together 11.90 is 1.9 above; blend 11.08 is 1.1 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
bet365as of 15:00 on 22 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.55 · Under 2.41
added together 11.90 is 2.9 above; blend 11.08 is 2.1 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 22 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.74 · Under 2.10
added together 11.90 is 2.4 above; blend 11.08 is 1.6 above
Derby County 51%, Cardiff City 54% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 22 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 1.94 · Under 1.88
added together 11.90 is 1.9 above; blend 11.08 is 1.1 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 22 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.15 · Under 1.70
added together 11.90 is 1.4 above; blend 11.08 is 0.6 above
Derby County 40%, Cardiff City 40% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 22 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 11Over 2.48 · Under 1.52
added together 11.90 is 0.9 above; blend 11.08 is 0.1 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 22 Augolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Derby CountyCardiff City
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2061%Over 3.5 cornersL2082%
L2048%Over 4.5 cornersL2058%
L2037%Over 5.5 cornersL2046%
L2051%Over 9.5 totalL2054%
L2040%Over 10.5 totalL2040%
L2046%Match corners W%L2064%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%Under 68%
37%6 to 815%
22%9 to 1141%
15%12 to 1423%
17%Over 1413%
Derby County · 41 matchesCardiff City · 39 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+0.7 · DERBY COUNTY
Derby County · home
+0.7
net per game
Cardiff City · away
-0.1
net per game
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