CHAMPIONSHIP
Watford
LLLLW
- Bravo 12'
- Nabizada 29'
FT2 – 1
Southampton
LDWDW
- Larin 56'
Sunday, 16 August 2026 · 13:30
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
WatfordSouthampton
Team cards · per game
Total match cards · per game
Season cards · league hub
Matches played this season: Watford 13 matches; Southampton 14 matches
2.92Cards for per game1.93
2.31Cards against per game2.79
Hit rates · home v away
L2042%Cards match bet W%L2037%
L2087%Both teams cardedL2070%
L2076%Over 1.5 team cardsL2058%
L2058%Over 3.5 total cardsL2058%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2095%Over 0.5 team cardsL2091%
L2074%Over 1.5 team cardsL2068%
L2021%Over 2.5 team cardsL2023%
L205%Over 3.5 team cardsL205%
Team cards by line · overall
L2097%Over 0.5 team cardsL2084%
L2076%Over 1.5 team cardsL2058%
L2029%Over 2.5 team cardsL2023%
L2013%Over 3.5 team cardsL209%
Officiating
Referee profile
Card profile · last 12 months · 25 matches
Match average
4.76 CARDS / GAME
4.68 yellows a game · 25 matches, last 12 months
M. Donohue
25
Apps
117
Yellows
4.68
Yellows / game
2
Reds
Cards per game
Cards per game25 matches in the last 12 months · yellows and reds4.76
Yellows per game25 matches in the last 12 months4.68
Half-by-half card counts are not recorded for these matches, so no first-half or second-half split is shown.
Referee extras · this league season
Fouls per game5 matches16.00
Penalties awarded0 in 5 matches · 0.00 a game0
Team cards
Home cards25 matches, last 12 months2.28 avg
Away cards25 matches, last 12 months2.48 avg
Both teams21/2584%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref96%+1.524/25 matches
Ref92%+2.523/25 matches
Ref68%+3.517/25 matches
Line check
Line vs referee and teams
Bookmaker cards lines beside the referee and the two teams. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Referee: M. Donohue, 25 matches in the last 12 months
- Teams, matches played this season: Watford 13 matches; Southampton 14 matches
M. Donohue averages 4.76 cards a game over 25 matches in the last 12 months, 0.3 above a 4.5 line.
In those matches M. Donohue has shown the home side 2.28 cards a game and the away side 2.48 (25 matches).
Watford cards for 2.92 a game, Southampton 1.93, together 4.85 against a 4.5 line.
Blending each side's cards for with the other's cards against gives Watford 2.85 and Southampton 2.12, together 4.97 against a 4.5 line.
The added-together figure is 0.4 above the 4.5 line; the blend is 0.5 above it.
Cards for at the venues: Watford at home 3.00 (6 matches), Southampton away 2.00 (7 matches), together 5.00.
bet365 · line 4.5 (main line)Over 1.83 · Under 1.83
referee 4.76 is 0.3 above; teams added together 4.85 is 0.4 above; blend 4.97 is 0.5 above
bet365as of 13:30 on 16 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 3Over 1.29 · Under 3.35
referee 4.76 is 1.8 above; teams added together 4.85 is 1.9 above; blend 4.97 is 2.0 above
Pinnacleas of 13:30 on 16 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 3.5Over 1.54 · Under 2.41
referee 4.76 is 1.3 above; teams added together 4.85 is 1.4 above; blend 4.97 is 1.5 above
Pinnacleas of 13:30 on 16 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 4Over 1.79 · Under 2.00
referee 4.76 is 0.8 above; teams added together 4.85 is 0.9 above; blend 4.97 is 1.0 above
Pinnacleas of 13:30 on 16 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 4.5Over 2.17 · Under 1.65
referee 4.76 is 0.3 above; teams added together 4.85 is 0.4 above; blend 4.97 is 0.5 above
Pinnacleas of 13:30 on 16 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 5Over 2.83 · Under 1.38
referee 4.76 is 0.2 below; teams added together 4.85 is 0.1 below; blend 4.97 is level with
Pinnacleas of 13:30 on 16 Augolder price
Averages
Cards · past-game averages
Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into one figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source59%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source58%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source57%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source68%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Average61%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 3.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
1.54
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.41
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 13:30 on 16 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 13:30 on 16 Augolder price
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 4.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
2.17
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 4.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
1.65
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 13:30 on 16 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 13:30 on 16 Augolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Cards 0
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Watford 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.02
bet365
1.96
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Southampton 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.77
bet365
1.79
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 13:30 on 16 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 13:30 on 16 Augolder price
Watford (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source74%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source76%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source36%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average62%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Southampton (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source68%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source58%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source31%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average52%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Both Teams To Receive A Card
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.18
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
4.50
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 13:30 on 16 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Market
Both Teams 2+ Cards
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 13:30 on 16 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Total cards lines
Every line bet365 and Pinnacle quote
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
3––1.293.35
3.51.612.201.542.41
4––1.792.00
4.51.831.832.171.65
5––2.831.38
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 13:30 on 16 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 13:30 on 16 Augolder price
Asian Handicap Cards
Each side with the handicap it carries, in cards
bet365Pinnacle
Watford -0.5–2.50
Watford 02.021.96
Watford +0.5–1.56
Southampton -0.5–2.28
Southampton 01.771.79
Southampton +0.5–1.47
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that handicap.
bet365as of 13:30 on 16 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 13:30 on 16 Augolder price
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