SBI
LA LIGA
Valencia
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Real Madrid
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Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 20:00 · Estadio de Mestalla
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
5.6
Valencia · for
at home, per game
11.5
Total corners · projected
μ 11.47
5.8
Real Madrid · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.62Fair3.53(28%)▼ 25.9%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.20
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
No Edge To Take
1.42
Tissue
1.41
At exch margin
1.77
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Under 9.5
No Edge To Take
3.45
Tissue
3.45
At exch margin
2.04
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
ValenciaReal Madrid
4.9
Corners for · per game
6.3
4.9
Corners against · per game
4.3
Hit rates · over markets
L2068%
Over 3.5 corners
L2087%
L2052%
Over 4.5 corners
L2067%
L2032%
Over 5.5 corners
L2056%
L2048%
Over 9.5 total
L2057%
L2040%
Over 10.5 total
L2046%
L2044%
Match corners W%
L2060%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
15%
Under 6
9%
26%
6 to 8
17%
26%
9 to 11
34%
21%
12 to 14
23%
12%
Over 14
17%
Valencia · 34 matchesReal Madrid · 47 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.4 · VALENCIA
Valencia · home
+1.4
net per game
For
5.7
Against
4.2
Real Madrid · away
+0.8
net per game
For
5.3
Against
4.5
Market

Valencia Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.24
Tissue
1.23
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+58.3%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
5.40
Tissue
5.40
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-65.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Real Madrid Corners Over / Under 6.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 6.5
Against Tissue
2.72
Tissue
2.70
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-20.5%
Against Tissue
Under 6.5
Value Edge
1.59
Tissue
1.58
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+7.8%
Value Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.