SBI
LA LIGA
FC Barcelona
WWWWL
  • Raphinha 61'
FT1 – 2
Real Madrid
LWWWW
  • Mbappé 41'
  • Mbappé 87'
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · 20:00 · Camp Nou
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.8
FC Barcelona · for
at home, per game
12.0
Total corners · projected
μ 12.02
5.2
Real Madrid · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price17.00
Fair8.71
LOST
6 to 8
Price4.33
Fair4.94
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.75
Fair3.47
LOST
12 to 14
Price3.40
Fair4.94
WON
Over 14
Price5.50
Fair5.22
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.32
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.51
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
4.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.52
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
FC BarcelonaReal Madrid
6.6
Corners for · per game
6.3
3.9
Corners against · per game
4.3
Hit rates · over markets
L2085%
Over 3.5 corners
L2088%
L2069%
Over 4.5 corners
L2067%
L2056%
Over 5.5 corners
L2056%
L2062%
Over 9.5 total
L2057%
L2051%
Over 10.5 total
L2046%
L2079%
Match corners W%
L2060%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
15%
Under 6
10%
23%
6 to 8
14%
28%
9 to 11
33%
15%
12 to 14
24%
18%
Over 14
19%
FC Barcelona · 39 matchesReal Madrid · 42 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+4.3 · FC BARCELONA
FC Barcelona · home
+4.3
net per game
For
7.7
Against
3.4
Real Madrid · away
+0.8
net per game
For
5.3
Against
4.5
Market

FC Barcelona Corners Over / Under 6.5

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 6.5
1.94
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 6.5
2.08
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Real Madrid Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.67
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.52
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Search SBI…
Back to Match Centre