LA LIGA
Atlético de Madrid
WLLWW
- Grimaldo (pen) 53'
- David 59'
FT2 – 1
Real Madrid
WLWWW
- Huijsen 52'
- Rüdiger 89'
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · 15:15 · Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won2.14
Estimate
3.40
bet365
3.72
Pinnacle
3.50
bet365
3.64
Pinnacle
+2.9%
Drifted
Draw
Lost4.40
Estimate
3.90
bet365
3.82
Pinnacle
3.80
bet365
3.89
Pinnacle
−2.6%
Shortened
Away
Lost3.35
Estimate
1.95
bet365
1.98
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.01
Pinnacle
+2.6%
Drifted
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 3 days before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Atlético de Madrid
wonBY 1
Price6.00
Estimate4.92
▲ 21.9%lostBY 2
Price12.00
Estimate6.99
▲ 71.7%lostBY 3
Price23.00
Estimate13.20
▲ 74.2%lostBY 4+
Price41.00
Estimate20.75
▲ 97.6%Real Madrid
lostBY 1
Price4.00
Estimate6.31
▼ 36.6%lostBY 2
Price5.50
Estimate11.33
▼ 51.4%lostBY 3
Price9.00
Estimate27.25
▼ 67.0%lostBY 4+
Price13.00
Estimate59.98
▼ 78.3%Draw
lostScore Draw
Price4.00
Estimate5.18
▼ 22.8%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price17.00
Estimate27.32
▼ 37.8%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Won1.43
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won1.30
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Lost1.89
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 2–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won1.64
Estimate
—
bet365
2.80
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.74
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost2.58
Estimate
—
bet365
1.48
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.54
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 2–1 · HT 0–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost2.74
Estimate
3.60
bet365
4.01
Pinnacle
3.60
bet365
3.99
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Draw
Won2.68
Estimate
2.50
bet365
2.54
Pinnacle
2.50
bet365
2.61
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Lost3.90
Estimate
2.40
bet365
2.53
Pinnacle
2.50
bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
+4.2%
Drifted
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 3 days before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
15:42Over 1.5 goals · from 0-0 at 25'ProjectedNo observed priceHit
16:27FT_OVER_1_5_INPLAY_FROM_HT_00ProjectedNo observed priceHit
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