SBI
LA LIGA
Málaga
LDLDD
  • Dotor 12'
FT1 – 3
Villarreal
DLLLL
  • Moleiro 40'
  • Gueye 45+2'
  • Gueye (pen) 86'
Thursday, 17 September 2026 · 20:30
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
MálagaVillarreal
2.8
Team cards · per game
2.3
5.8
Total match cards · per game
4.7
Hit rates · home v away
L2041%
Cards match bet W%
L2036%
L2085%
Both teams carded
L2082%
L2076%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2074%
L2073%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2062%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2095%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2095%
L2075%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2081%
L2050%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2043%
L2030%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2019%
Team cards by line · overall
L2093%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2090%
L2076%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2074%
L2059%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2044%
L2029%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2013%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 21 matches
Match average
4.05 YELLOWS / GAME
M. Ortiz Arias
La Liga · 21 matches in the last 12 months
21
Apps
85
Yellows
4.05
Yellows / game
6
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards2.14 avg
Away cards2.19 avg
Both teams19/2190%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref95%+1.520/21 matches
Ref86%+2.518/21 matches
Ref62%+3.513/21 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–3
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source71%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source68%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source68%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source62%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model67%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.49
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.54
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.10
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.45
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 4.5

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Málaga 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.75
bet365
1.76
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Villarreal 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.05
bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Málaga (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source75%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source76%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source39%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model63%MasterP(over 1.5)
Villarreal (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source81%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source74%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source36%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model64%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
1.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.22
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
6.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
4.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.