LA LIGA
Real Madrid
WWWLW
- Mbappé (pen) 14'
- Carreras 17'
- Bellingham 35'
- Mbappé 90+1'
FT4 – 1
Rayo Vallecano
LLDLW
- Camello 51'
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · 20:00 · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won1.54
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Draw
Lost5.30
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost6.60
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Real Madrid
lostBY 1
Price5.00
Estimate4.57
▲ 9.4%lostBY 2
Price4.33
Estimate5.16
▼ 16.2%wonBY 3
Price4.75
Estimate7.82
▼ 39.2%lostBY 4+
Price3.25
Estimate8.86
▼ 63.3%Rayo Vallecano
lostBY 1
Price19.00
Estimate10.17
▲ 86.7%lostBY 2
Price51.00
Estimate24.47
▲ 108.4%lostBY 3
Price151.00
Estimate80.62
▲ 87.3%lostBY 4+
Price501.00
Estimate268.10
▲ 86.9%Draw
lostScore Draw
Price11.00
Estimate6.43
▲ 71.1%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price29.00
Estimate27.78
▲ 4.4%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Won1.19
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won1.24
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Lost2.90
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won1.24
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost5.30
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 4–1 · HT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won2.08
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Draw
Lost2.84
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost6.20
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
20:14First half over 0.5 goalsProjectedNo observed priceHit
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