LA LIGA
Real Madrid
LWWWW
- Mbappé 40'
- Mbappé 60'
- Junior 68'
- Mbappé 80'
FT4 – 1
Real Sociedad
DDLDL
- Sucic 44'
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 · 20:00 · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won1.33
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Draw
Lost6.60
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost11.50
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Real Madrid
lostBY 1
Price8.50
Estimate4.83
▲ 75.9%lostBY 2
Price21.00
Estimate4.71
▲ 345.4%wonBY 3
Price67.00
Estimate6.21
▲ 978.6%lostBY 4+
Price201.00
Estimate5.68
▲ 3441.6%Real Sociedad
lostBY 1
Price—
Estimate15.81
—lostBY 2
Price—
Estimate46.99
—lostBY 3
Price—
Estimate195.51
—lostBY 4+
Price—
Estimate867.48
—Draw
lostScore Draw
Price7.00
Estimate8.37
▼ 16.3%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price23.00
Estimate29.93
▼ 23.2%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Won1.10
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won1.19
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Lost4.20
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won1.13
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost9.40
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 4–1 · HT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost1.79
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Draw
Won3.10
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost9.00
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
20:15First half over 0.5 goalsProjectedNo observed priceHit
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