SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL 2
Penafiel
WWLWW
Kick-off15:30
Lusitania FC Lourosa
WWDDD
Sunday, 15 November 2026 · 15:30
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
5.2
Penafiel · for
at home, per game
10.7
Total corners · projected
μ 10.70
5.5
Lusitania FC Lourosa · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price—Fair3.03(33%)EDGE —
Every selected band needs a book price to split a stake.
Market prices returning shortly
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
PenafielLusitania FC Lourosa
4.4
Corners for · per game
5.1
5.5
Corners against · per game
4.4
Hit rates · over markets
L2054%
Over 3.5 corners
L2068%
L2042%
Over 4.5 corners
L2051%
L2034%
Over 5.5 corners
L2040%
L2055%
Over 9.5 total
L2042%
L2043%
Over 10.5 total
L2030%
L2032%
Match corners W%
L2059%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
17%
Under 6
10%
17%
6 to 8
32%
41%
9 to 11
34%
20%
12 to 14
12%
5%
Over 14
12%
Penafiel · 41 matchesLusitania FC Lourosa · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
-0.3 · PENAFIEL
Penafiel · home
-0.3
net per game
For
4.4
Against
4.6
Lusitania FC Lourosa · away
-0.8
net per game
For
4.2
Against
5.0