SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL 2
Chaves
WLDWL
Kick-off14:00
Penafiel
WWLWW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 14:00
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.4
Chaves · for
at home, per game
11.4
Total corners · projected
μ 11.38
5.0
Penafiel · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price—Fair2.53(40%)EDGE —
Every selected band needs a book price to split a stake.
Market prices returning shortly
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
ChavesPenafiel
4.8
Corners for · per game
4.4
4.3
Corners against · per game
5.5
Hit rates · over markets
L2056%
Over 3.5 corners
L2054%
L2045%
Over 4.5 corners
L2042%
L2035%
Over 5.5 corners
L2034%
L2042%
Over 9.5 total
L2055%
L2027%
Over 10.5 total
L2043%
L2054%
Match corners W%
L2032%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
15%
Under 6
17%
39%
6 to 8
17%
34%
9 to 11
41%
7%
12 to 14
20%
5%
Over 14
5%
Chaves · 41 matchesPenafiel · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.2 · CHAVES
Chaves · home
+1.2
net per game
For
5.4
Against
4.2
Penafiel · away
-2.0
net per game
For
4.5
Against
6.5