LIGA PORTUGAL 2
Chaves
WLDWL
Kick-off14:00
Penafiel
WWLWW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 14:00
PSC WIN2.15+2.4%FCP B WIN3.20-1.5%SCF WIN1.70DRAW3.50SLB B WIN4.50UDL WIN3.25SCUT WIN2.10DRAW3.25DRAW3.20DRAW3.10SCP B WIN2.70CDT WIN2.50O GLS1.75U GLS2.05BTTS NO2.10BTTS YES1.66U GLS2.00O GLS1.80BTTS YES1.61BTTS NO2.20PSC WIN2.15+2.4%FCP B WIN3.20-1.5%SCF WIN1.70DRAW3.50SLB B WIN4.50UDL WIN3.25SCUT WIN2.10DRAW3.25DRAW3.20DRAW3.10SCP B WIN2.70CDT WIN2.50O GLS1.75U GLS2.05BTTS NO2.10BTTS YES1.66U GLS2.00O GLS1.80BTTS YES1.61BTTS NO2.20
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.4
Chaves · for
at home, per game
11.4
Total corners · projected
5.0
Penafiel · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price—Fair2.53(40%)EDGE —
Every selected band needs a book price to split a stake.
Market prices returning shortly
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
ChavesPenafiel
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2056%Over 3.5 cornersL2054%
L2045%Over 4.5 cornersL2042%
L2035%Over 5.5 cornersL2034%
L2042%Over 9.5 totalL2055%
L2027%Over 10.5 totalL2043%
L2054%Match corners W%L2032%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
15%Under 617%
39%6 to 817%
34%9 to 1141%
7%12 to 1420%
5%Over 145%
Chaves · 41 matchesPenafiel · 41 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.2 · CHAVES
Chaves · home
+1.2
net per game
Penafiel · away
-2.0
net per game
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