SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL 2
Tondela
LWWWL
  • Tomané (pen) 28'
  • Félix 45+5'
  • Tomané 88'
FT3 – 2
Felgueiras 1932
WLLLD
  • Duarte 20'
  • Pinto 53'
  • Lopes 90+11'
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 14:00 · Estádio João Cardoso
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.2
Tondela · for
at home, per game
10.7
Total corners · projected
μ 10.75
5.6
Felgueiras 1932 · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price9.00
Fair10.47
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.00
Fair3.63
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair2.26
WON
12 to 14
Price4.50
Fair8.53
LOST
Over 14
Price11.00
Fair14.54
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.35
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.55
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
3.95
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.33
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.59
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.72
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
TondelaFelgueiras 1932
4.7
Corners for · per game
5.2
4.7
Corners against · per game
4.5
Hit rates · over markets
L2057%
Over 3.5 corners
L2070%
L2049%
Over 4.5 corners
L2058%
L2035%
Over 5.5 corners
L2036%
L2045%
Over 9.5 total
L2049%
L2038%
Over 10.5 total
L2038%
L2053%
Match corners W%
L2040%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%
Under 6
5%
30%
6 to 8
28%
38%
9 to 11
50%
10%
12 to 14
18%
13%
Over 14
0%
Tondela · 40 matchesFelgueiras 1932 · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.5 · TONDELA
Tondela · home
+0.5
net per game
For
4.8
Against
4.3
Felgueiras 1932 · away
+0.4
net per game
For
5.0
Against
4.6
Market

Tondela Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
2.42
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
1.72
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Felgueiras 1932 Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.25
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
5.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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