LIGA PORTUGAL 2
União de Leiria
LDLLW
- Fernández 52'
- Ondó 66'
FT2 – 0
Tondela
WLWLL
Friday, 28 August 2026 · 18:00 · Estádio Pina Manique
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.6
União de Leiria · for
this season, per game
12.2
Total corners · past games added together
6.7
Tondela · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price6.50
LOST6 to 8
Price2.62
WON9 to 11
Price2.75
LOST12 to 14
Price5.50
LOSTOver 14
Price15.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 2–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.13
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 18:00 on 28 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 18:00 on 28 Augolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 2–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.04
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.71
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 18:00 on 28 Augolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Corners 0
Settled · FT 2–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
União de Leiria 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.65
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Tondela 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
2.07
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 18:00 on 28 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 18:00 on 28 Augolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 8.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
8.51.802.001.672.13
92.251.901.841.91
9.5––2.041.71
103.251.572.391.52
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 18:00 on 28 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 18:00 on 28 Augolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (8.5)
OverUnder
61.256.50
71.443.75
81.802.62
103.251.57
114.331.33
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 18:00 on 28 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
União de Leiria +11.66
Tie after the handicap8.00
Tondela -12.60
bet365as of 18:00 on 28 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: União de Leiria 9 matches; Tondela 9 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (União de Leiria 77, Tondela 77)
União de Leiria corners for 5.56 a game, Tondela 6.67, together 12.22 against a 8.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives União de Leiria 3.61 and Tondela 5.72, together 9.33 against a 8.5 line.
The added-together figure is 3.7 above the 8.5 line; the blend is 0.8 above it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, União de Leiria 77 matches, Tondela 77 matches): over 8.5: União de Leiria 58%, Tondela 62%.
Corners for at the venues: União de Leiria at home 5.20 (5 matches), Tondela away 7.25 (4 matches, small sample), together 12.45.
bet365 · line 8.5 (main line)Over 1.80 · Under 2.00
added together 12.22 is 3.7 above; blend 9.33 is 0.8 above
União de Leiria 58%, Tondela 62% of matches went over
bet365as of 18:00 on 28 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 8.5Over 1.67 · Under 2.13
added together 12.22 is 3.7 above; blend 9.33 is 0.8 above
União de Leiria 58%, Tondela 62% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 18:00 on 28 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.84 · Under 1.91
added together 12.22 is 3.2 above; blend 9.33 is 0.3 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 18:00 on 28 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 2.04 · Under 1.71
added together 12.22 is 2.7 above; blend 9.33 is 0.2 below
União de Leiria 47%, Tondela 45% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 18:00 on 28 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.39 · Under 1.52
added together 12.22 is 2.2 above; blend 9.33 is 0.7 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 18:00 on 28 Augolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
União de LeiriaTondela
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2065%Over 3.5 cornersL2051%
L2053%Over 4.5 cornersL2049%
L2039%Over 5.5 cornersL2035%
L2047%Over 9.5 totalL2045%
L2038%Over 10.5 totalL2038%
L2040%Match corners W%L2046%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
13%Under 610%
30%6 to 829%
23%9 to 1141%
28%12 to 1410%
8%Over 1410%
União de Leiria · 40 matchesTondela · 41 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+1.2 · UNIÃO DE LEIRIA
União de Leiria · home
+1.2
net per game
Tondela · away
-0.4
net per game
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