SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL
Sporting CP
WLLWW
Kick-off20:30
Moreirense
WDLWW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 20:30 · Estádio José Alvalade
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.5
Sporting CP · for
at home, per game
10.0
Total corners · projected
μ 10.00
3.5
Moreirense · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.62Fair2.80(36%)▼ 6.5%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.20
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge
1.85
Tissue
1.84
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+11.1%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue
2.20
Tissue
2.18
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-15.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Sporting CPMoreirense
—
Corners for · per game
—
—
Corners against · per game
—
Hit rates · over markets
L2066%
Over 3.5 corners
L2047%
L2053%
Over 4.5 corners
L2026%
L2040%
Over 5.5 corners
L209%
L2040%
Over 9.5 total
L2029%
L2036%
Over 10.5 total
L2012%
L2055%
Match corners W%
L2032%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
11%
Under 6
12%
30%
6 to 8
44%
40%
9 to 11
38%
11%
12 to 14
6%
9%
Over 14
0%
Sporting CP · 47 matchesMoreirense · 34 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
NO DATA
Sporting CP · home
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Moreirense · away
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Market

Sporting CP Corners Over / Under 7.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 7.5
Against Tissue
3.10
Tissue
3.10
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-31.1%
Against Tissue
Under 7.5
Value Edge
1.48
Tissue
1.47
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+15.3%
Value Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Moreirense Corners Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 1.5
Value Edge
1.16
Tissue
1.15
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+42.5%
Value Edge
Under 1.5
Against Tissue
7.60
Tissue
7.60
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-70.3%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.