SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL
Famalicão
DWLWL
Kick-off20:45
Arouca
LDWWW
Friday, 6 November 2026 · 20:45 · Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.1
Famalicão · for
at home, per game
11.2
Total corners · projected
μ 11.17
5.0
Arouca · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 6 to 8Price3.00Fair3.08(32%)▼ 2.7%
6 to 8£10.00Returns£30.00
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge
1.48
Tissue
1.47
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+38.9%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue
3.15
Tissue
3.10
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-41.0%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
FamalicãoArouca
—
Corners for · per game
—
—
Corners against · per game
—
Hit rates · over markets
L2068%
Over 3.5 corners
L2051%
L2056%
Over 4.5 corners
L2037%
L2041%
Over 5.5 corners
L2012%
L2056%
Over 9.5 total
L2046%
L2044%
Over 10.5 total
L2034%
L2049%
Match corners W%
L2034%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
2%
Under 6
12%
29%
6 to 8
39%
32%
9 to 11
29%
29%
12 to 14
15%
7%
Over 14
5%
Famalicão · 41 matchesArouca · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
NO DATA
Famalicão · home
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Arouca · away
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Market

Famalicão Corners Over / Under 5.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
Value Edge
1.75
Tissue
1.74
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+17.6%
Value Edge
Under 5.5
Against Tissue
2.36
Tissue
2.34
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-24.6%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Arouca Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.35
Tissue
1.35
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+30.3%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
3.90
Tissue
3.85
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-47.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.